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ChicagoCubs

St. LouisCardinals
Chicago Cubs
Home win · Match winner
Operator odds are not available right now
The Cubs have a record advantage and a player in strong form, but starting pitchers, lineups, and several medical statuses remain uncertain. The market has Chicago as the favorite, with a very narrow margin between the implied probabilities of the two odds.
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milwaukee Brewers | 162 | 103 | 59 | 214 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 162 | 100 | 62 | 201 |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 162 | 94 | 68 | 116 |
| 4 | San Diego Padres | 162 | 91 | 71 | 41 |
| 5 | Chicago Cubs | 162 | 89 | 73 | 147 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Phillies | 162 | 88 | 74 | 15 |
| 9 | Miami Marlins | 162 | 80 | 82 | 3 |
| 10 | St. Louis Cardinals | 162 | 77 | 85 | -29 |
| 11 | Washington Nationals | 162 | 77 | 85 | 6 |
As of August 14, Chicago had a record of 71-51 against 61-60 for St. Louis. No complete and verifiable record of the last five games is available.
The directly consulted data mainly concerns 2025. The Cubs had won several home games that year, but those results cannot be directly extrapolated to 2026.
Cubs: Edward Cabrera, Daniel Palencia, Ben Brown, and Matt Shaw were recently on the injured list or in rehabilitation, without confirmation of their exact status on August 15. Justin Steele was announced as unlikely to return as a starting pitcher in 2026.
Cardinals: Ramón Urías continued his rehabilitation with no set return date, Max Rajcic had undergone ulnar collateral ligament reconstruction, and Nelson Velázquez had been claimed by Houston on August 10. No published suspensions were found.
The game is played at Wrigley Field in a three-game series in Chicago. Pete Crow-Armstrong is presented in strong form for the Cubs.
Chicago was returning from a series in Washington. Information on starting pitchers and lineups is not available.
Lineups not yet published
The Chicago Cubs odds at 1.62 imply about 61.73%, while St. Louis Cardinals at 2.60 imply about 38.46%. The sum reaches about 100.19%, an overround close to 0.19%.
The de-vigged consensus baseline is not provided, so no direct value comparison with this baseline is possible. The sharp lines are close to the actual odds: 1.60 for Chicago versus 1.62, and 2.58 for St. Louis versus 2.60.
This shows only a slight price discrepancy in favor of the actual odds, with no clearly more advantageous line identifiable.
A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.
Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.