New York Mets – Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee is 6-4 over its last ten games, with a +29 run differential, a .284 offensive average, and 9 home runs. New York is 7-3 in its last ten home games, with a +8 run differential; the Mets are hitting .255 with 15 home runs over their last ten games.

The recent team ERA is 2.42 for Milwaukee versus 3.02 for New York. William Contreras (.400) leads Milwaukee and Luis Robert (.323) leads New York over the last ten games.

In 2026, the teams are tied with two wins apiece, with the Mets winning 3-2 in ten innings on August 25. The three previous matchups in Milwaukee resulted in two Brewers wins and one Mets win.

Milwaukee won four of the six recent matchups in 2025. The overall record is 92-93 in Milwaukee's favor; New York won the 2024 NL Wild Card three games to two.

Mets unavailable: Juan Soto (calf), Mark Vientos (hand), Devin Williams (shoulder), Jorge Polanco (ankle), Cionel Pérez (forearm), Reed Garrett (elbow), Justin Hagenman (ribs) and Tylor Megill (elbow). Brewers unavailable: Abner Uribe (forearm), JoJo Romero (appendicitis), Joel Kuhnel (shoulder), Angel Zerpa (forearm), Brandon Woodruff (shoulder), Brian Fitzpatrick (elbow), Quinn Priester (wrist) and Rob Zastryzny (shoulder).

Cooper Pratt is day-to-day with a lower-body injury. No suspensions are published in the sources consulted.

Game scheduled at Citi Field, New York, on August 26, 2026 at 7:10 p.m. ET. Probable pitchers: Dustin May for Milwaukee, after allowing 7 earned runs in 2 innings against Seattle, and Robert Stock for New York, after allowing 1 earned run in 4⅓ innings in his last outing.

Milwaukee has an 81-51 record versus New York’s 60-72.

Lineups not yet published. An indicative projection notably mentions Brice Turang, William Contreras, Jackson Chourio, and Jake Bauers for Milwaukee, as well as Bo Bichette, Carson Benge, Marcus Semien, and Brett Baty for New York; this projection may change.

Matchbook odds imply approximately 42.0% for New York and 58.5% for Milwaukee, representing an overround of approximately 0.5%. The sharp Betfair line is very close to Matchbook: 2.36 for New York and 1.71 for Milwaukee.

The devigged market consensus baseline is not provided; therefore, no value analysis against this baseline is available.