Cincinnati Reds – Milwaukee Brewers

Over the last ten games, Milwaukee is 6-4 compared with Cincinnati’s 5-5. The Brewers are hitting .289 with 11 home runs and 10.3 hits per game, compared with .251, 17 home runs, and 8.6 hits for the Reds.

Their recent ERA is also better: 4.19 versus 6.49. Shane Drohan has a season ERA of 3.75, compared with 5.14 for Rhett Lowder.

Milwaukee leads the 2026 series six wins to one, with Cincinnati winning the last matchup 7-2 on July 2. Overall record: Cincinnati 222-243-1 against Milwaukee. No MLB postseason meetings.

Cincinnati lists Spencer Steer, Ke’Bryan Hayes, Hunter Greene, Graham Ashcraft, and Blake Dunn among the unavailable players. Milwaukee lists Brandon Woodruff, Bryse Wilson, Angel Zerpa, Quinn Priester, and Brian Fitzpatrick among the unavailable players.

Eugenio Suárez is listed as probable. No suspensions are reported.

Game scheduled at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on September 4, 2026 at 22:11 UTC. Milwaukee leads the NL Central at 87-54; Cincinnati is fifth at 67-73.

Probable pitchers: Shane Drohan for Milwaukee and Rhett Lowder for Cincinnati.

Lineups not yet published

The real odds imply approximately 40,65% for Cincinnati at 2,46 and 58,82% for Milwaukee at 1,70, for a total of approximately 99,47% and an under-round of approximately 0,53%. The sharp Betfair line is identical for Cincinnati at 2,46 and slightly lower for Milwaukee at 1,67, implying approximately 40,65% and 59,88%, with an overround of approximately 0,53%.

The devigged market consensus baseline is not provided, so assessing value against this baseline is impossible. At 1,70, Milwaukee offers odds slightly higher than the sharp line of 1,67; Cincinnati is aligned with the sharp line.