New York Mets – San Francisco Giants

Over the last ten games, the Mets are hitting .231 with 7,8 hits per game, 2,4 extra-base hits per game and a team ERA of 4,14. The Giants are hitting .248 with 8,1 hits per game and 12 home runs, but their team ERA is 5,15 with 11 home runs allowed.

In 2026, the Mets lead 3-1 in head-to-head matchups. In 2025, they won the series 4-2. Historically, the Giants lead 351 wins to 308.

For the Mets, the reported absences are Devin Williams, Jorge Polanco, Cionel Pérez, Reed Garrett and Tylor Megill. For the Giants, the published list notably includes Willy Adames, Casey Schmitt, Matt Chapman, Marcelo Mayer, Daniel Susac, Keaton Winn, J.T. Brubaker, Sam Hentges and Matt Gage, along with several other players.

No suspension is mentioned.

Match scheduled at Citi Field, in New York, to open a three-game series. Record indicated: Mets 63-77, Giants 58-83.

Nolan McLean is announced with a record of 10-8, an ERA of 3,06, and 172 strikeouts; Matt Wilkinson with 0-2, an ERA of 4,63, and six strikeouts.

Lineups not yet published. Announced starting pitchers: Nolan McLean for New York and Matt Wilkinson for San Francisco.

The actual odds imply approximately 63,69 % for the Mets at 1,57 and 36,76 % for the Giants at 2,72, amounting to an overround of approximately 0,45 %. The sharp Betfair lines are close: Mets at 1,56 and Giants at 2,70, revealing no notable discrepancy between the actual market and the sharp line.

The devigged market consensus baseline is not provided; the value assessment against this baseline is therefore information not available.