Miami Marlins – Chicago Cubs

Chicago has won its last four listed games after a loss to Cincinnati, with high offensive production. Miami has won three of its last five listed games.

For the season, Chicago scores 5.3 runs per game compared with 4.4 for Miami, but Miami has a better team ERA, 3.96 versus 4.18.

Chicago leads 8 wins to 5 in the 13 matchups over the last three seasons. In the last known series in Miami, in May 2025, Chicago won two of three games. The 2024 matchups in Miami also resulted in two Chicago wins to one.

Miami: Kyle Stowers left the previous game with a left hamstring strain; Xavier Edwards continues his thumb rehabilitation; Pete Fairbanks and Anthony Bender are listed as unavailable. Chicago: Jacob Webb is experiencing forearm pain, with no planned stint on the injured list according to his manager.

No published suspension was found.

The game is being played at loanDepot park, Miami. Chicago has a record of 79-62 and Miami around 71-70.

The probable pitchers are Shōta Imanaga for Chicago, with 8-10, ERA 4,01 and 148 strikeouts, and Janson Junk for Miami, with 6-8 and ERA 4,11. Chicago is coming off a series against Milwaukee, while Miami is beginning a three-game home series.

Lineups not yet published

The odds imply approximately 40,65 % for Miami at 2,46 and 59,88 % for Chicago at 1,67, for an overround of approximately 0,53 %. The sharp Betfair line is identical at 2,46 for Miami and slightly lower at 1,66 for Chicago; it implies approximately 40,65 % and 60,24 %, for an overround of approximately 0,89 %.

The de-vigged market consensus baseline is not provided, so the value relative to this baseline and a precise comparison with a de-vigged sharp line are not available.