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27 - 2 - 120 KOs (74%)
Boxe · WBA · 12 rounds
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · 04:00
42 - 5 - 023 KOs (55%)
Brandon Figueroa wins
Match result (1X2)
No bet
78% Brandon Figueroa18% Tomoki Kameda
Operator odds are not available right now
Brandon Figueroa has the edge in recent activity, WBA champion status, and both size and reach. Tomoki Kameda nevertheless retains a credible path if he forces the fight at mid-range and on the inside. The decisive limitation remains the uncertainty surrounding Kameda’s current form after his last listed bout in May 2025, as well as both boxers’ medical readiness.
Read the full analysisNo recent direct matchup between Brandon Figueroa and Tomoki Kameda is documented in the selected materials. This absence prevents evaluating their mutual adaptation based on a precedent, particularly Figueroa’s ability to maintain distance and Kameda’s ability to enter close-quarters fighting range.
Professional featherweight bout, standard limit of 126 lb, for the WBA Featherweight World Championship. Figueroa is listed as the champion and Kameda as the challenger. The exact round format has not been officially verified; twelve rounds is likely for a world championship, but remains to be confirmed. Figueroa has 27 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, including 20 KOs, with a decision against Joet Gonzalez on July 19, 2025, followed by a TKO against Nick Ball on February 7, 2026. Kameda has 42 wins, 5 losses, and no draws, including 23 KOs; his last listed bout dates back to May 24, 2025, against Angelo Leo. Figueroa is 1.75 m tall with a 72½-inch reach, compared with Kameda’s 1.71 m height and 67-inch reach. The exact quality of recent opposition and Kameda’s current condition limit the comparison.
Brandon Figueroa
Tomoki KamedaFigueroaKameda
Goes the distance 35%
No withdrawal, suspension, or medical issue has been confirmed for either boxer. This does not allow concluding that no injury exists: no medical report, official weigh-in result, or reliable information about a recent injury is documented. The status of the training camp and the actual availability of both boxers remain unknown.
The Figueroa scenario is based on his recent activity, his TKO victory over Nick Ball on 7 février 2026, his status as champion, and his documented height and reach advantage; he could work from range and control the center of the ring. The Kameda scenario is based on his experience, his 3rd-place WBA ranking, and his potential ability to close the distance, work the body, and impose close-range exchanges. The first scenario is weakened by the absence of precise medical and tactical data on this matchup; the second by the absence of a listed fight since 24 mai 2025 and uncertainty about his current rhythm.
The exact participants are Brandon Figueroa and Tomoki Kameda. Figueroa is the WBA featherweight champion and Kameda the challenger. The official number of rounds and contractual conditions remain to be confirmed. The time remains to be confirmed: the event is announced for October 17, 2026 at 20 h ET in Las Vegas, which corresponds approximately to October 18 at 00 h UTC, not 02 h UTC.
Selection: Brandon Figueroa (1X2). Estimated probability: 77,9%, based on market odds. Odds 1.25. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Official result pending
The bout is over but no official winner has been recorded yet. No result is invented.
A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.
Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.
