Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.28
Best odds
Unibet1.28
Unibet1.28
Winamax1.24
PMU1.23Archived odds
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ASRoma
Genoa
Timestamped proof
Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.28
Unibet1.28Winamax1.24PMU1.23Archived odds
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 75.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 75.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
The archived results show Roma defeating Fiorentina, Lecce, Atalanta and Torino, then drawing with Inter, while Genoa lost to Napoli, Lazio, Como and Parma and drew with Frosinone. These archives are partial and do not necessarily constitute the last five matches.
The available statistics are not consistent across the entire period: Roma notably recorded 2.97 xG and 10 shots on target against Atalanta on 5 September, while Genoa recorded 0.78 xG and 2 shots on target against Como on 4 September, without a sufficient basis for a general comparison. The result of Genoa-Fiorentina on 10 October is not established.
The latest documented meeting was Roma 3-1 Genoa, on 29 December 2025 at the Olimpico. Roma recorded 7 shots on target to Genoa's 2 and 6 corners to 1.
This precedent suggests greater attacking pressure from Roma in this match, but its prédictive valeur is limited: squads, coaches and context may have changed before October 2026.
The favorable scenario for Roma is based on territorial pressure at home, attacking the spaces after winning the ball back, and increased presence in the box; Gasperini had also mentioned a team capable of varying its systems and the impact of Matías Soulé coming off the bench. The opposite scenario sees Genoa defend deep in a compact block, close off the box, then attack the spaces left by Roma’s forward runs.
However, this response depends on defensive starters being available and on an unconfirmed pressing structure. A Roma rotation is also plausible after its European match against Real Madrid scheduled for 14 October, although its extent is unknown.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +10 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 6 | +7 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | WWDWW | |
| 3 | 6 | +11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | DDWWW | |
| 4 | 6 | +3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | DWWWL | |
| 5 | 6 | +6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | DWDDW | |
| 6 | 6 | +4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | DWLDW | |
| 7 | 6 | +3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | DLWWW | |
| 8 | 6 | +4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | WDWLL | |
| 9 | 6 | +2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | LWDWW | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | WLLLW | |
| 11 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | DLWDW | |
| 12 | 6 | -2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | WDLWL | |
| 13 | 6 | -6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | LLWLL | |
| 14 | 6 | -2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WDLDL | |
| 15 | 6 | -4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | LLLLW | |
| 16 | 6 | -6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | LWLDL | |
| 17 | 6 | -6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | WLDLL | |
| 18 | 6 | -6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | LWLDL | |
| 19 | 6 | -7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | LDWLL | |
| 20 | 6 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | LLLLL |
CoachG. Gasperini
CoachD. De Rossi
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 88 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 65 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
AS RomaGenoa
RecordAS Roma · 3W · 0D · 0L
