Under 3.5 goals
Archived odds 1.40
Best odds
Unibet1.40
Unibet1.40
Bwin1.39
Winamax1.38Archived odds
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Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Under 3.5 goals
Archived odds 1.40
Unibet1.40Bwin1.39Winamax1.38Archived odds
LiveFirst half 28'
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | — | — | — | 19 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Atletico-MGCruzeiro
RecordAtletico-MG · 1W · 1D · 1L
Prediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 66.8 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Under 3.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 66.8 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Atlético-MG lost its last two matches: 0-2 against Montevideo City Torque on 21/10 away, then 2-3 against Flamengo on 26/10 at the Maracanã, after wins of 1-0 against Coritiba on 17/10 and 3-0 against Montevideo City Torque on 14/10. Cruzeiro were coming off two league wins, 4-2 at Grêmio and then 1-0 against Remo, with four wins in their last five league matches.
Atlético had approximately three full days of rest; no consistent and verifiable data on xG, shots, or pressing is provided.
Atlético-MG reports five derbies played in 2026: three Atlético wins, one draw, and one Cruzeiro win. The two previous matches at Arena MRV ended in two 2-1 Atlético wins, in the Campeonato Mineiro and the Copa do Brasil.
The club also reports a run of five unbeaten matches in the Brazilian league, without detailing all the scores. These previous results have limited prédictive valeur, as the squads, coaches, and stakes may differ.
Atlético-MG: Vitor Hugo suspended for an accumulation of cards; Ruan Tressoldi, Fred, Cassierra, Thiago Borbas and Cuello announced absent through injury, with Cuello following a rib injury. Cruzeiro: Felipe Morais ruled out with a muscle injury; Gabriel Pec and Sinisterra also listed as absent.
Arroyo was available after feeling unwell during the previous match and had trained normally. The information comes from ge publications dated 28 and 29/10/2026.
The match is scheduled for 29/10/2026 at 19h30 in Brasília, i.e. 22h30 UTC, at Arena MRV in Belo Horizonte, with Atlético-MG at home, for matchday 33 of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026. Cruzeiro were third with 54 points and Atlético-MG sixth with 50 points; both teams were targeting direct qualification for the Libertadores group stage.
Atlético scenario: the 18 wins, 11 draws and only one defeat at Arena MRV in 2026 could support early pressure and transitions after regaining possession. Cruzeiro scenario: their recent form, the expected return of João Marcelo and the possibility of exploiting the spaces behind the opposing full-backs could offset the away trip.
Atlético had already qualified for the Copa Sudamericana final and were due to play Grêmio in the Copa do Brasil semi-final the following weekend; rotation is likely but unconfirmed.
