Prediction Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

Full time

5 - 2

La Liga Monday, 31 August 2026 · 21:30 Camp Nou, Barcelona

Estimated probabilityD

12'0-1S. CamelloRayo VallecanoAssist · A. Garcia
19'1-1RaphinhaBarcelonaAssist · X. Espart
21'2-1Lamine YamalBarcelonaAssist · M. Bernal
HT2-1
51'2-2F. LejeuneOwn goalBarcelona
59'2-3S. CamelloRayo VallecanoAssist · U. Lopez
71'3-3RaphinhaBarcelonaAssist · A. Gordon
90'4-3Lamine YamalBarcelonaAssist · K. Adeyemi

Marcelito prediction

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18+ only.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Analysis based on bookmaker coverage and available form data.

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Barcelona won 5-0 against Elche with 4,13 xG to 0,72. Rayo Vallecano lost 2-1 to Sevilla and then drew 1-1 against Alavés. Barcelona's complete form sequence is not available.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Barcelona leads the head-to-head record with 31 wins, 11 draws and 7 losses in 49 meetings. Barcelona is unbeaten in the last five Liga matches, with four wins and one draw.

Context & news

Matchday 3 of Liga, scheduled for 31 August 2026 at 19 h 30 at Spotify Camp Nou. The official page still displays unfilled standings and match data, and no detailed official preview has been published.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 31 Oct 2026, 19:05 UTC

Standings

LALIGA 2026-27

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	11	0	12	3	3	5
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	11	-1	11	3	2	6
13	10	-10	11	3	2	5
14	10	-11	11	3	2	5
···
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	10	-3	10	2	4	4
17	9	-8	9	2	3	4
18	10	-10	9	2	3	5
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Barcelona4-2-3-1

CoachHansi Flick

Rayo Vallecano4-2-3-1

CoachBenat San Jose

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Barcelona

Substitutes11

Out and doubtful5

Rayo Vallecano

Substitutes11

Out and doubtful4

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

43 matches
33 matches
33 matches
33 matches
33 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

33 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches

CardsCards

33 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches

Player statistics

Barcelona

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

See all (11)

Rayo Vallecano

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75

See all (11)

Events

12'Goal · Assist: A. GarciaRayo Vallecano
19'Goal · Assist: X. EspartBarcelona
21'Goal · Assist: M. BernalBarcelona
32'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
45+2'VARBarcelona
51'Own goalBarcelona
57'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
57'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
59'Goal · Assist: U. LopezRayo Vallecano
64'SubstitutionBarcelona
64'SubstitutionBarcelona
71'Goal · Assist: A. GordonBarcelona
75'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
75'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
77'SubstitutionBarcelona
77'SubstitutionBarcelona
86'SubstitutionBarcelona
90'Yellow card · FoulRayo Vallecano
90'Goal · Assist: K. AdeyemiBarcelona

See all (19)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

BarcelonaRayo Vallecano

9Shots on target5

26Shots11

4Fouls↓11

9Corners5

69%Possession31%

0Yellow cards↓1

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

2.83Expected goals1.08

10Shots off target4

7Blocked shots2

17Shots inside the box7

9Shots outside the box4

3Offsides4

-2.31Goals prevented-2.31

Passing

90%Pass accuracy74%

647Passes284

585Accurate passes210

Defence

3Saves5

Recent formLa Liga

Barcelona

WWLWL

vs Athletic Club2–0W
vs Elche5–0W
vs Valencia1–3L
vs Real Betis3–1W
vs Alaves0–1L

Rayo Vallecano

DLWWD

vs Alaves1–1D
vs Sevilla1–2L
vs Alaves2–1W
vs Villarreal2–0W
vs Valencia1–1D

Head-to-head

W5–22 months ago
W1–07 months ago · La Liga · Regular Season - 29
D1–131 Aug 2025 · La Liga · Regular Season - 3

RecordBarcelona · 2W · 1D · 0L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

31 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona
Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain

All our results

Loading match details…

Full time

5 - 2

La Liga Monday, 31 August 2026 · 21:30 Camp Nou, Barcelona

Estimated probabilityD

12'0-1S. CamelloRayo VallecanoAssist · A. Garcia
19'1-1RaphinhaBarcelonaAssist · X. Espart
21'2-1Lamine YamalBarcelonaAssist · M. Bernal
HT2-1
51'2-2F. LejeuneOwn goalBarcelona
59'2-3S. CamelloRayo VallecanoAssist · U. Lopez
71'3-3RaphinhaBarcelonaAssist · A. Gordon
90'4-3Lamine YamalBarcelonaAssist · K. Adeyemi

Marcelito prediction

This prediction is for members

Create your free account to see the pick, the odds and the probability for every match.

Every prediction, free
Pick, odds and probability
No card required

Create my free account I already have an account

18+ only.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Analysis based on bookmaker coverage and available form data.

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Barcelona won 5-0 against Elche with 4,13 xG to 0,72. Rayo Vallecano lost 2-1 to Sevilla and then drew 1-1 against Alavés. Barcelona's complete form sequence is not available.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Barcelona leads the head-to-head record with 31 wins, 11 draws and 7 losses in 49 meetings. Barcelona is unbeaten in the last five Liga matches, with four wins and one draw.

Context & news

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 31 Oct 2026, 19:05 UTC

Standings

LALIGA 2026-27

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L
1	10	+29	27	9	0	1
2	10	+12	25	8	1	1
3	10	+15	24	8	0	2
4	10	+2	20	6	2	2
5	10	+1	19	6	1	3
6	10	0	17	5	2	3
7	10	+3	12	3	3	4
8	9	+3	12	3	3	3
9	10	+3	12	2	6	2
10	11	0	12	3	3	5
11	10	0	11	2	5	3
12	11	-1	11	3	2	6
13	10	-10	11	3	2	5
14	10	-11	11	3	2	5
···
15	10	-3	10	2	4	4
16	10	-3	10	2	4	4
17	9	-8	9	2	3	4
18	10	-10	9	2	3	5
19	10	-10	6	1	3	6
20	10	-12	5	0	5	5

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Barcelona4-2-3-1

CoachHansi Flick

Rayo Vallecano4-2-3-1

CoachBenat San Jose

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Barcelona

Substitutes11

Out and doubtful5

Rayo Vallecano

Substitutes11

Out and doubtful4

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

43 matches
33 matches
33 matches
33 matches
33 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

33 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches

CardsCards

33 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches
23 matches

Player statistics

Barcelona

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

See all (11)

Rayo Vallecano

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75

See all (11)

Events

12'Goal · Assist: A. GarciaRayo Vallecano
19'Goal · Assist: X. EspartBarcelona
21'Goal · Assist: M. BernalBarcelona
32'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
45+2'VARBarcelona
51'Own goalBarcelona
57'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
57'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
59'Goal · Assist: U. LopezRayo Vallecano
64'SubstitutionBarcelona
64'SubstitutionBarcelona
71'Goal · Assist: A. GordonBarcelona
75'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
75'SubstitutionRayo Vallecano
77'SubstitutionBarcelona
77'SubstitutionBarcelona
86'SubstitutionBarcelona
90'Yellow card · FoulRayo Vallecano
90'Goal · Assist: K. AdeyemiBarcelona

See all (19)

Comparative statistics18 metricsPartial

BarcelonaRayo Vallecano

9Shots on target5

26Shots11

4Fouls↓11

9Corners5

69%Possession31%

0Yellow cards↓1

—Red cards—

All statistics (18)

Attack

2.83Expected goals1.08

10Shots off target4

7Blocked shots2

17Shots inside the box7

9Shots outside the box4

3Offsides4

-2.31Goals prevented-2.31

Passing

90%Pass accuracy74%

647Passes284

585Accurate passes210

Defence

3Saves5

Recent formLa Liga

Barcelona

WWLWL

vs Athletic Club2–0W
vs Elche5–0W
vs Valencia1–3L
vs Real Betis3–1W
vs Alaves0–1L

Rayo Vallecano

DLWWD

vs Alaves1–1D
vs Sevilla1–2L
vs Alaves2–1W
vs Villarreal2–0W
vs Valencia1–1D

Head-to-head

W5–22 months ago
W1–07 months ago · La Liga · Regular Season - 29
D1–131 Aug 2025 · La Liga · Regular Season - 3

RecordBarcelona · 2W · 1D · 0L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

31 August ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona
Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain

All our results

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.2	—	0	—	—	90
6.2	—	0	—	—	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	90
6.9	—	0	—	1	90
6.6	—	1	—	1	90
7.7	—	1	1	2	64
6.6	—	0	—	1	77
10	2	0	2	4	90
7.2	—	0	—	1	64
7.5	—	1	2	3	77
9.3	2	0	3	3	86

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.5	—	0	—	—	90
5.6	—	0	—	—	90
5.9	—	0	—	3	90
5.9	—	0	—	—	90
6.3	—	0	—	—	32
6.7	—	0	—	—	90
6.5	—	0	1	1	57
6.2	—	0	—	—	57
6.6	—	1	—	—	75
6.2	—	1	—	—	90
8	2	0	2	2	75