Prediction Brentford – Liverpool: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Brentford

EPL · EnglandSeason 2026

Full time

1 – 2

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 16:00

Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex

Liverpool

PickLiverpool +0.5
Estimated probability65%

44'1-0Keane Lewis-PotterBrentfordAssist · Igor Thiago
HT1-0
62'1-1Víctor MuñozLiverpoolAssist · Florian Wirtz
70'1-2Alexander IsakLiverpoolAssist · Bradley Barcola

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Liverpool +0.5

Archived odds 1.52

Best odds

Betsson1.52

Unibet1.40

PMU1.35

Archived odds

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 72,5%, according to our model. Odds 1.52. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Read the full analysis

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 72,5%, according to our model. Odds 1.52. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

Brentford: 3-0 against Chelsea on 18 September, 2-2 at Bournemouth on 12 September, 1-1 against Sunderland on 5 September, 1-1 at Leeds on 30 August and 3-0 against Tottenham on 22 August. Liverpool: 1-0 at Bournemouth on 20 September, 0-0 against Fulham on 12 September, 2-0 at Ipswich on 4 September, 2-2 against Nottingham Forest on 29 August and 2-2 at Newcastle on 23 August.

The cache is explicitly partial for Brentford, and no consistent series of xG, shots or pressing has been established for either team. Liverpool could have slightly less rest after Manchester City on 11 October, while Brentford were scheduled to play at Aston Villa on 10 October; the impact remains hypothetical.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

No Brentford-Liverpool head-to-head score from the previous season has been established by the pages consulted. It is therefore not possible to document a recent meeting with a date, season and score.

Older head-to-heads would have limited relevance without demonstrated continuity of the coaches, squads, goalkeepers and tactical roles.

Context & news

Brentford can rely on home advantage and their recent home wins; an ability to exploit transitions or set pieces is plausible, but no specific goal-scoring mechanism has been verified. Liverpool can respond with their unbeaten record in the five results reviewed and seek to control transitions, but no reliable comparison of possession, chances or pressing is available.

The opposite scenario depends notably on the physical workload after Manchester City, an attacking absence for Liverpool or the confirmed return of key Brentford players. The standings and precise stakes remain to be confirmed after the October 10 and 11 matches.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 11:58 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+11	18	6	0	0	16	5	WWWWW
2	6	+5	15	5	0	1	10	5	WLWWW
3	6	+13	13	4	1	1	18	5	WWWDL
4	6	+6	10	2	4	0	12	6	DWDDD
5	6	+3	10	2	4	0	8	5	DWDDD
6	6	+2	10	3	1	2	15	13	WLDLW
7	6	+3	9	2	3	1	8	5	LDWDD
8	6	+2	9	2	3	1	8	6	DLDDW
9	6	0	9	2	3	1	7	7	LWDWD
10	6	-3	9	3	0	3	9	12	WLWLL
11	6	-3	8	2	2	2	10	13	LWLDW
12	6	-3	7	2	1	3	9	12	WDLWL
13	6	0	6	1	3	2	9	9	DDLDW
14	6	-6	6	2	0	4	5	11	WWLLL
15	6	-3	5	1	2	3	5	8	LLWDD
16	6	-5	5	1	2	3	6	11	DWLDL
17	6	-6	4	1	1	4	6	12	LLLDW
18	6	-6	3	0	3	3	7	13	LLDDD
19	6	-6	3	0	3	3	3	9	DLDDL
20	6	-4	2	0	2	4	6	10	LDDLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Brentford4-2-3-1

CoachKeith Andrews

Liverpool4-2-3-1

CoachAndoni Iraola

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Brentford

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful6

Liverpool

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful8

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

66 matches
55 matches
46 matches
46 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

46 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches

CardsCards

46 matches
44 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches

Player statistics

Brentford

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.16	0	0	0	0	90	0	0
7.36	0	0	0	1	90	0	0
6.63	0	0	0	0	90	0	0
6.27	0	0	0	0	71	0	0
7.47	1	0	1	2	77	0	0
5.35	0	0	0	0	53	0	1
5.37	0	0	0	0	90	0	1
6.29	0	0	0	0	45	0	0
6.54	0	0	0	0	45	0	0
6.71	0	0	1	4	77	0	0
6.42	0	1	0	3	90	1	0

See all (11)

Liverpool

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.55	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.24	0	0	0	0	45	0
6.3	0	0	0	1	90	1
7.19	0	0	0	1	90	0
6.02	0	0	0	0	90	0
7	0	0	1	4	90	1
6.09	0	0	0	1	32	0
7.94	1	0	2	3	79	0
7.47	0	1	0	1	90	0
6.48	0	1	0	4	90	1
7.76	1	0	1	2	79	0

See all (11)

Events

31'Yellow card · FoulLiverpool
32'SubstitutionLiverpool
41'VARLiverpool
44'Goal · Assist: Igor ThiagoBrentford
45+5'VARBrentford
45+8'Red cardBrentford
45'SubstitutionLiverpool
45'SubstitutionBrentford
45'SubstitutionBrentford
46'Yellow card · FoulBrentford
49'Yellow card · FoulLiverpool
52'SubstitutionLiverpool
53'Yellow card · DissentLiverpool
60'Yellow cardBrentford
62'Goal · Assist: Florian WirtzLiverpool
63'Yellow card · DissentBrentford
70'Goal · Assist: Bradley BarcolaLiverpool
71'SubstitutionBrentford
77'SubstitutionBrentford
77'SubstitutionBrentford
79'SubstitutionLiverpool
79'SubstitutionLiverpool
90+2'Red cardBrentford

See all (23)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

BrentfordLiverpool

0.9Expected goals1.54

2Shots on target5

3Saves1

2Red cards↓0

10Shots21

2Yellow cards↓3

3Corners9

All statistics (17)

Attack

10Shots inside the box10

4Blocked shots4

4Shots off target12

1Offsides2

0Shots outside the box11

Passing

40%Possession60%

244Accurate passes416

330Passes503

Discipline

7Fouls↓13

13Free kicks7

Recent formPremier League

Brentford

DWDDD

vs Aston Villa2–2D
vs Chelsea3–0W
vs Bournemouth2–2D
vs Sunderland1–1D
vs Leeds1–1D

Liverpool

LWDWD

vs Manchester City0–3L
vs Bournemouth1–0W
vs Fulham0–0D
vs Ipswich2–0W
vs Nottingham Forest2–2D

Head-to-head

D1–15 months ago · Premier League · Regular Season - 38
W3–225 Oct 2025 · Premier League · Regular Season - 9
L0–218 Jan 2025 · Premier League · Regular Season - 22

RecordBrentford · 1W · 1D · 1L

Match information

Competition: EPL
Stadium: Gtech Community Stadium
City: Brentford, Middlesex
Referee: John Brooks
Capacity: 17,250
Surface: Natural grass

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Brentford

EPL · EnglandSeason 2026

Full time

1 – 2

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 16:00

Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex

Liverpool

PickLiverpool +0.5
Estimated probability65%

44'1-0Keane Lewis-PotterBrentfordAssist · Igor Thiago
HT1-0
62'1-1Víctor MuñozLiverpoolAssist · Florian Wirtz
70'1-2Alexander IsakLiverpoolAssist · Bradley Barcola

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Liverpool +0.5

Archived odds 1.52

Best odds

Betsson1.52

Unibet1.40

PMU1.35

Archived odds

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 72,5%, according to our model. Odds 1.52. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Read the full analysis

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 72,5%, according to our model. Odds 1.52. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Older head-to-heads would have limited relevance without demonstrated continuity of the coaches, squads, goalkeepers and tactical roles.

Context & news

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 11:58 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+11	18	6	0	0	16	5	WWWWW
2	6	+5	15	5	0	1	10	5	WLWWW
3	6	+13	13	4	1	1	18	5	WWWDL
4	6	+6	10	2	4	0	12	6	DWDDD
5	6	+3	10	2	4	0	8	5	DWDDD
6	6	+2	10	3	1	2	15	13	WLDLW
7	6	+3	9	2	3	1	8	5	LDWDD
8	6	+2	9	2	3	1	8	6	DLDDW
9	6	0	9	2	3	1	7	7	LWDWD
10	6	-3	9	3	0	3	9	12	WLWLL
11	6	-3	8	2	2	2	10	13	LWLDW
12	6	-3	7	2	1	3	9	12	WDLWL
13	6	0	6	1	3	2	9	9	DDLDW
14	6	-6	6	2	0	4	5	11	WWLLL
15	6	-3	5	1	2	3	5	8	LLWDD
16	6	-5	5	1	2	3	6	11	DWLDL
17	6	-6	4	1	1	4	6	12	LLLDW
18	6	-6	3	0	3	3	7	13	LLDDD
19	6	-6	3	0	3	3	3	9	DLDDL
20	6	-4	2	0	2	4	6	10	LDDLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Brentford4-2-3-1

CoachKeith Andrews

Liverpool4-2-3-1

CoachAndoni Iraola

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Brentford

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful6

Liverpool

Substitutes9

Out and doubtful8

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

66 matches
55 matches
46 matches
46 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

46 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches

CardsCards

46 matches
44 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches

Player statistics

Brentford

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.16	0	0	0	0	90	0	0
7.36	0	0	0	1	90	0	0
6.63	0	0	0	0	90	0	0
6.27	0	0	0	0	71	0	0
7.47	1	0	1	2	77	0	0
5.35	0	0	0	0	53	0	1
5.37	0	0	0	0	90	0	1
6.29	0	0	0	0	45	0	0
6.54	0	0	0	0	45	0	0
6.71	0	0	1	4	77	0	0
6.42	0	1	0	3	90	1	0

See all (11)

Liverpool

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.55	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.24	0	0	0	0	45	0
6.3	0	0	0	1	90	1
7.19	0	0	0	1	90	0
6.02	0	0	0	0	90	0
7	0	0	1	4	90	1
6.09	0	0	0	1	32	0
7.94	1	0	2	3	79	0
7.47	0	1	0	1	90	0
6.48	0	1	0	4	90	1
7.76	1	0	1	2	79	0

See all (11)

Events

31'Yellow card · FoulLiverpool
32'SubstitutionLiverpool
41'VARLiverpool
44'Goal · Assist: Igor ThiagoBrentford
45+5'VARBrentford
45+8'Red cardBrentford
45'SubstitutionLiverpool
45'SubstitutionBrentford
45'SubstitutionBrentford
46'Yellow card · FoulBrentford
49'Yellow card · FoulLiverpool
52'SubstitutionLiverpool
53'Yellow card · DissentLiverpool
60'Yellow cardBrentford
62'Goal · Assist: Florian WirtzLiverpool
63'Yellow card · DissentBrentford
70'Goal · Assist: Bradley BarcolaLiverpool
71'SubstitutionBrentford
77'SubstitutionBrentford
77'SubstitutionBrentford
79'SubstitutionLiverpool
79'SubstitutionLiverpool
90+2'Red cardBrentford

See all (23)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

BrentfordLiverpool

0.9Expected goals1.54

2Shots on target5

3Saves1

2Red cards↓0

10Shots21

2Yellow cards↓3

3Corners9

All statistics (17)

Attack

10Shots inside the box10

4Blocked shots4

4Shots off target12

1Offsides2

0Shots outside the box11

Passing

40%Possession60%

244Accurate passes416

330Passes503

Discipline

7Fouls↓13

13Free kicks7

Recent formPremier League

Brentford

DWDDD

vs Aston Villa2–2D
vs Chelsea3–0W
vs Bournemouth2–2D
vs Sunderland1–1D
vs Leeds1–1D

Liverpool

LWDWD

vs Manchester City0–3L
vs Bournemouth1–0W
vs Fulham0–0D
vs Ipswich2–0W
vs Nottingham Forest2–2D

Head-to-head

D1–15 months ago · Premier League · Regular Season - 38
W3–225 Oct 2025 · Premier League · Regular Season - 9
L0–218 Jan 2025 · Premier League · Regular Season - 22

RecordBrentford · 1W · 1D · 1L

Match information

Competition: EPL
Stadium: Gtech Community Stadium
City: Brentford, Middlesex
Referee: John Brooks
Capacity: 17,250
Surface: Natural grass

All our results