Over 1.5 goals
Observed odds
Loading match details…
This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Everton

Newcastle
Over 1.5 goals
Observed odds
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 79.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 79.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Everton lost 0-2 to Chelsea on 17 October, after a 2-2 draw at Hull City on 11 October, and were due to face Arsenal on 24 October. In the cup, Everton had beaten Wolves 1-0 in the third round.
Newcastle had won 1-0 at Millwall at the same stage; they were due to host Aston Villa on 17 October and then travel to Crystal Palace on 25 October. The Premier League was then reporting 13 goals conceded by Newcastle in the league and a long run without a clean sheet at home, but these factors concern league competition.
The cached possession, shots, corners, and streak statistics do not allow for a consistent comparison of form or chance quality.
The documented recent meetings are Everton’s 3-2 win at Newcastle on 28 February 2026, Newcastle’s 4-1 win at Everton on 29 November 2025, and Everton’s 3-1 friendly win on 12 August 2026. They are not precedents from this cup, and their prédictive valeur is limited by possible changes in squads, coaches, and context.
As of October 17, Everton indicated that Vitalii Mykolenko had become available again after a minor injury and that Michael Keane was absent from the squad; this status may have changed before October 29. No verifiable status has been established for Newcastle’s absentees, suspended players, goalkeepers or uncertain starters.
Starting pitchers do not apply to this sport.
Everton benefits from Hill Dickinson Stadium, a single-elimination match without a first leg, and a 1-0 home win against Wolves in this edition. In this scenario, a disciplined local block could limit transitions and close down the penalty area.
Conversely, Newcastle could take advantage of spaces if Everton leaves gaps or rotates heavily after Arsenal; however, its away match at Crystal Palace four days earlier is a constraint. No specific advantage can be asserted for pressing, xG, shots or set pieces.
No official lineup has been published for this match. Everton’s starting eleven against Chelsea on October 17 does not make it possible to predict the one for the Cup.
Rotation is plausible, particularly with Arsenal before Newcastle and another league match between the two clubs on November 2, but it has not been demonstrated.
Pending
EvertonNewcastle
RecordEverton · 0W · 0D · 3L