Over 2.5 goals
Price at publication 1.50
Bet3651.48
Pinnacle1.47
1xBet1.46Archived odds
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This content was machine-translated from the French version.
BelgiqueTimestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Price at publication 1.50
Bet3651.48Pinnacle1.471xBet1.46Archived odds
France have a sporting advantage: they won 1-0 in Belgium on 28 September, are playing at the Stade de France and lead the group with 7 points to Belgium’s 6.
Read the full analysisFrance have a sporting advantage: they won 1-0 in Belgium on 28 September, are playing at the Stade de France and lead the group with 7 points to Belgium’s 6. The decisive limitation is Kylian Mbappé’s announced absence, the lineups not having been published, and fatigue after three matches in eight days.
Before this match, France beat Turkey 1-0 on 25 September, Belgium 1-0 on 28 September, then drew 1-1 with Italy on 2 October. Belgium won 2-0 in Italy on 25 September, lost 0-1 to France on 28 September, then beat Turkey 3-0 on 2 October.
Both teams have played three matches in eight days and have only two full days of rest. No xG, complete shot volume, pressing, or comparable chance-quality indicator has been verified.
Documented recent meetings: Belgium 0-1 France, 28 September 2026; Belgium 1-2 France, 14 October 2024; France 2-0 Belgium, 9 September 2024; France 1-0 Belgium, 1 July 2024. These results provide favorable context for France, but their prédictive valeur is limited by the change of French coach, potentially different squads, and the exceptional schedule of this international window.
Kylian Mbappé suffered a tendon injury to his knee on 25 September and was ruled out of the next three matches, including the one on 5 October, according to Le Monde on 26 September. His absence remains a major factor for France, but no official medical update specifies his progress.
No complete list of suspended players or verified Belgian absences has been announced.
France can rely on its recent success against Belgium, the Stade de France advantage and Michael Olise’s decisive performances, with a good performance also described for Jérémy Jacquet and Adrien Rabiot on 2 October. A favorable scenario relies on exploiting the flanks and set pieces around Olise, an assumption dependent on the lineup.
The opposite scenario is a Belgium strengthened by its 2-0 victory over Italy and 3-0 victory over Turkey, capable of playing quick transitions against a France without Mbappé. France has nevertheless shown difficulties in destabilizing a compact team such as Italy.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1959 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1779 | 8 |
CoachZ. Zidane
CoachM. van Bommel
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 88 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
FranceBelgique
RecordFrance · 1W · 0D · 2L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
