Prediction Frosinone – Sassuolo: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

Loading match details…

MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Frosinone

Serie A · ItalySeason 2026

Full time

4 – 2

Friday, 16 October 2026 · 20:45

PSC Arena, Frosinone

Sassuolo

Estimated probabilityD

9'1-0Giacomo CalòFrosinone
15'1-1Domenico BerardiSassuoloAssist · Darryl Bakola
26'2-1Antonio RaimondoFrosinone
30'3-1Antonio RaimondoFrosinone
37'3-2Kristian ThorstvedtSassuolo
HT3-2
57'4-2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone

Pronostic Marcelito

No bet recommended

Match finished — this forecast has been settled, see the day's review.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 70,1%, according to our model. Odds 1.62. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Read the full analysis

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 70,1%, according to our model. Odds 1.62. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

Frosinone won three of their five documented matches, with victories over Como, Venezia and Fiorentina, a draw at Genoa and a defeat against Juventus. Sassuolo have two wins, one draw and two defeats, including a victory over Juventus but a defeat at Monza.

This sequence remains partial and does not include the Napoli-Frosinone match scheduled for 10 October. No homogeneous set of xG, shots or pressing data is used.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The documented recent Serie A head-to-head results are: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone on 9 March 2024; Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo on 17 September 2023; Sassuolo 2-2 Frosinone on 5 May 2019; Frosinone 0-2 Sassuolo on 16 December 2018; Frosinone 0-1 Sassuolo on 8 May 2016. These results indicate a closely contested history with an overall advantage for Sassuolo, but their prédictive valeur is limited by changes in squads, coaches and competitive context.

Context & news

The match is scheduled in Serie A, Matchday 7, on Friday 16 October 2026 at 20 h 45 in Italy at Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone’s actual home ground. Before Matchday 6, Frosinone were 6th with 10 points from five matches and Sassuolo 10th with 7 points.

Frosinone scenario: home advantage and their better run may support an aggressive approach and transitions after regaining possession, but this reading remains probable due to a lack of verified data on pressing and attacking areas. Sassuolo scenario: their wins against Juventus and Torino may allow them to exploit the spaces left by an attacking Frosinone through rapid transitions; this reading remains hypothetical.

The exact stakes, season objectives, and any rotation related to the international break have not been verified.

Match data

Data overviewComplete data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 09:17 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+10	16	5	1	0	18	8	WDWWW
2	6	+7	16	5	1	0	11	4	WWDWW
3	6	+11	14	4	2	0	14	3	DDWWW
4	6	+3	13	4	1	1	6	3	DWWWL
5	6	+6	12	3	3	0	11	5	DWDDW
6	6	+4	11	3	2	1	9	5	DWLDW
7	6	+3	11	3	2	1	9	6	DLWWW
8	6	+4	10	3	1	2	10	6	WDWLL
9	6	+2	10	3	1	2	9	7	LWDWW
10	6	0	9	3	0	3	8	8	WLLLW
11	6	0	8	2	2	2	10	10	DLWDW
12	6	-2	7	2	1	3	7	9	WDLWL
13	6	-6	6	2	0	4	6	12	LLWLL
14	6	-2	5	1	2	3	5	7	WDLDL
15	6	-4	4	1	1	4	9	13	LLLLW
16	6	-6	4	1	1	4	9	15	LWLDL
17	6	-6	4	1	1	4	5	11	WLDLL
18	6	-6	4	1	1	4	4	10	LWLDL
19	6	-7	4	1	1	4	7	14	LDWLL
20	6	-11	0	0	0	6	5	16	LLLLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Frosinone4-2-3-1

CoachM. Alvini

Sassuolo4-2-3-1

CoachA. Aquilani

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Frosinone

Substitutes15

Out and doubtful2

Sassuolo

Substitutes15

Out and doubtful6

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

66 matches
46 matches
45 matches
46 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

46 matches
36 matches
35 matches
26 matches
25 matches

CardsCards

36 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches

Player statistics

Frosinone

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.26	0	0	0	90
6.04	0	0	0	80
6.6	0	0	0	90
6.17	0	0	0	74
6.42	0	1	1	90
6.02	0	0	0	90
8.2	1	2	5	80
6.44	0	1	3	90
6.26	0	1	1	90
6.46	0	1	4	74
9.31	3	4	6	89

See all (11)

Sassuolo

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.33	0	0	0	0	90
5.41	0	0	0	0	90
6.47	0	0	0	2	90
6.58	0	0	1	2	90
6.21	0	0	0	0	68
5.75	0	0	0	0	68
7.19	0	1	1	1	90
7.23	1	0	2	2	90
6.9	1	0	1	2	58
6.44	0	0	1	3	83
6.33	0	0	0	0	67

See all (11)

Events

9'GoalFrosinone
15'Goal · Assist: Darryl BakolaSassuolo
17'VARFrosinone
26'GoalFrosinone
30'GoalFrosinone
37'GoalSassuolo
57'GoalFrosinone
58'SubstitutionSassuolo
67'SubstitutionSassuolo
68'SubstitutionSassuolo
68'SubstitutionSassuolo
74'SubstitutionFrosinone
74'SubstitutionFrosinone
80'SubstitutionFrosinone
80'SubstitutionFrosinone
82'Yellow card · FoulSassuolo
83'SubstitutionSassuolo
90'SubstitutionFrosinone

See all (18)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

FrosinoneSassuolo

2.59Expected goals2.04

10Shots on target6

4Saves6

21Shots14

5Corners4

0Yellow cards↓1

13Fouls↓11

All statistics (17)

Attack

11Shots inside the box11

10Shots outside the box3

4Blocked shots3

7Shots off target5

3Offsides3

Passing

42%Possession58%

248Accurate passes376

333Passes467

Discipline

0Red cards↓0

11Free kicks13

Recent formSerie A

Frosinone

LWDWW

vs Napoli0–3L
vs Como2–0W
vs Genoa1–1D
vs Venezia3–2W
vs Fiorentina3–0W

Sassuolo

DLWDW

vs AC Milan1–1D
vs Monza1–2L
vs Juventus3–2W
vs Bologna2–2D
vs Torino2–1W

Head-to-head

W1–1last month · Coppa Italia · Round of 32
L0–113 May 2025 · Serie B · Regular Season - 34
L1–214 Dec 2024 · Serie B · Regular Season - 17

RecordFrosinone · 1W · 0D · 2L

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Stadium: Stadio Benito Stirpe
City: Frosinone
Referee: Matteo Marchetti
Capacity: 16,310
Surface: Natural grass

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Frosinone

Serie A · ItalySeason 2026

Full time

4 – 2

Friday, 16 October 2026 · 20:45

PSC Arena, Frosinone

Sassuolo

Estimated probabilityD

9'1-0Giacomo CalòFrosinone
15'1-1Domenico BerardiSassuoloAssist · Darryl Bakola
26'2-1Antonio RaimondoFrosinone
30'3-1Antonio RaimondoFrosinone
37'3-2Kristian ThorstvedtSassuolo
HT3-2
57'4-2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone

Pronostic Marcelito

No bet recommended

Match finished — this forecast has been settled, see the day's review.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 70,1%, according to our model. Odds 1.62. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Read the full analysis

Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 70,1%, according to our model. Odds 1.62. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Recent form · Written before the match

This sequence remains partial and does not include the Napoli-Frosinone match scheduled for 10 October. No homogeneous set of xG, shots or pressing data is used.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

Context & news

The exact stakes, season objectives, and any rotation related to the international break have not been verified.

Match data

Data overviewComplete data

Final11 sections availableUpdated 29 Oct 2026, 09:17 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+10	16	5	1	0	18	8	WDWWW
2	6	+7	16	5	1	0	11	4	WWDWW
3	6	+11	14	4	2	0	14	3	DDWWW
4	6	+3	13	4	1	1	6	3	DWWWL
5	6	+6	12	3	3	0	11	5	DWDDW
6	6	+4	11	3	2	1	9	5	DWLDW
7	6	+3	11	3	2	1	9	6	DLWWW
8	6	+4	10	3	1	2	10	6	WDWLL
9	6	+2	10	3	1	2	9	7	LWDWW
10	6	0	9	3	0	3	8	8	WLLLW
11	6	0	8	2	2	2	10	10	DLWDW
12	6	-2	7	2	1	3	7	9	WDLWL
13	6	-6	6	2	0	4	6	12	LLWLL
14	6	-2	5	1	2	3	5	7	WDLDL
15	6	-4	4	1	1	4	9	13	LLLLW
16	6	-6	4	1	1	4	9	15	LWLDL
17	6	-6	4	1	1	4	5	11	WLDLL
18	6	-6	4	1	1	4	4	10	LWLDL
19	6	-7	4	1	1	4	7	14	LDWLL
20	6	-11	0	0	0	6	5	16	LLLLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Frosinone4-2-3-1

CoachM. Alvini

Sassuolo4-2-3-1

CoachA. Aquilani

Full squad

Bench · Out and doubtful

Frosinone

Substitutes15

Out and doubtful2

Sassuolo

Substitutes15

Out and doubtful6

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

66 matches
46 matches
45 matches
46 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

46 matches
36 matches
35 matches
26 matches
25 matches

CardsCards

36 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches

Player statistics

Frosinone

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.26	0	0	0	90
6.04	0	0	0	80
6.6	0	0	0	90
6.17	0	0	0	74
6.42	0	1	1	90
6.02	0	0	0	90
8.2	1	2	5	80
6.44	0	1	3	90
6.26	0	1	1	90
6.46	0	1	4	74
9.31	3	4	6	89

See all (11)

Sassuolo

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
7.33	0	0	0	0	90
5.41	0	0	0	0	90
6.47	0	0	0	2	90
6.58	0	0	1	2	90
6.21	0	0	0	0	68
5.75	0	0	0	0	68
7.19	0	1	1	1	90
7.23	1	0	2	2	90
6.9	1	0	1	2	58
6.44	0	0	1	3	83
6.33	0	0	0	0	67

See all (11)

Events

9'GoalFrosinone
15'Goal · Assist: Darryl BakolaSassuolo
17'VARFrosinone
26'GoalFrosinone
30'GoalFrosinone
37'GoalSassuolo
57'GoalFrosinone
58'SubstitutionSassuolo
67'SubstitutionSassuolo
68'SubstitutionSassuolo
68'SubstitutionSassuolo
74'SubstitutionFrosinone
74'SubstitutionFrosinone
80'SubstitutionFrosinone
80'SubstitutionFrosinone
82'Yellow card · FoulSassuolo
83'SubstitutionSassuolo
90'SubstitutionFrosinone

See all (18)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

FrosinoneSassuolo

2.59Expected goals2.04

10Shots on target6

4Saves6

21Shots14

5Corners4

0Yellow cards↓1

13Fouls↓11

All statistics (17)

Attack

11Shots inside the box11

10Shots outside the box3

4Blocked shots3

7Shots off target5

3Offsides3

Passing

42%Possession58%

248Accurate passes376

333Passes467

Discipline

0Red cards↓0

11Free kicks13

Recent formSerie A

Frosinone

LWDWW

vs Napoli0–3L
vs Como2–0W
vs Genoa1–1D
vs Venezia3–2W
vs Fiorentina3–0W

Sassuolo

DLWDW

vs AC Milan1–1D
vs Monza1–2L
vs Juventus3–2W
vs Bologna2–2D
vs Torino2–1W

Head-to-head

W1–1last month · Coppa Italia · Round of 32
L0–113 May 2025 · Serie B · Regular Season - 34
L1–214 Dec 2024 · Serie B · Regular Season - 17

RecordFrosinone · 1W · 0D · 2L

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Stadium: Stadio Benito Stirpe
City: Frosinone
Referee: Matteo Marchetti
Capacity: 16,310
Surface: Natural grass

All our results