Over 2.5 goals
Price at publication 1.72
1xBet1.71
Pinnacle1.69
Bet3651.67Archived odds
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This content was machine-translated from the French version.
Grèce
Pays-Bas
Timestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Price at publication 1.72
1xBet1.71Pinnacle1.69Bet3651.67Archived odds
Greece have a slight contextual advantage thanks to home advantage at Toumba and their 2–1 victory in Serbia, while the Netherlands remain supported by their draw against Germany and their favorable recent history.
Read the full analysisGreece have a slight contextual advantage thanks to home advantage at Toumba and their 2-1 victory in Serbia, while the Netherlands remain supported by their draw against Germany and their favorable recent history. The best-documented Greek mechanism is exploiting crosses and aerial play at the end of moves; their decisive limitation is the lack of sufficient data on dominance, chances, and lineups.
Greece won 2-1 in Serbia on 24 September 2026; the Netherlands drew 1-1 at home against Germany on the same day. These are the only recent competitive matches documented in an exploitable manner, and they do not constitute a series of the last five matches.
No comparable xG, shot volume, or pressing indicator is available. Greece provisionally have 3 points to the Netherlands’ 1 after the first matchday, but the standings before kick-off remain unknown, as the matches on 27 September had not yet been played at the time of the search.
The recent documented encounters are Greece 0-1 Netherlands on 16 October 2023 and Netherlands 3-0 Greece on 7 September 2023. The official Dutch source also records Greece 1-2 Netherlands on 1 September 2016.
No earlier Nations League 2026/27 fixture is documented, as this match is the pair’s first in this edition. These precedents indicate a recent historical advantage for the Netherlands, but their prédictive valeur is limited because the squads, coaches, and competitive context have changed.
No confirmed absence, suspension, injury, information about the starting goalkeeper, or probable lineup has been established by the sources consulted. The official lineups are not available as of 25 September 2026.
The absence of news does not allow one to conclude that there are no injured players.
Scenario favorable to Greece: they can defend in a low or mid block, then attack transitions and crosses. In Belgrade, their decisive goal came from a progression and a cross by Kostas Tsimikas headed in by Tasos Douvikas, with Vangelis Pavlidis also hitting the post; this supports the hypothesis without proving a systematic plan.
Scenario favorable to the Netherlands: their ability to remain dangerous until the final minutes can exploit the limitations of a Greece side that waited until the end of the match to make the difference in Serbia, as illustrated by Cody Gakpo’s equalizer in stoppage time against Germany. Better ball control or repeated chances in the box would reinforce this scenario, but these metrics are not available.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 1499 | 41 | |
| 9 | 1779 | 9 |
CoachI. Jovanović
CoachXavi
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
GrècePays-Bas
RecordGrèce · 1W · 0D · 1L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
