Iceland wins
Price at publication 1.52
Pinnacle1.47
1xBet1.46
Bet3651.45Archived odds
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Islande
Bulgarie
Timestamped proof
Iceland wins
Price at publication 1.52
Pinnacle1.471xBet1.46Bet3651.45Archived odds
Iceland approaches this Group C4 match at home with four points and a 3–0 victory in Luxembourg, while Bulgaria has not won and remains on one point.
Read the full analysisIceland approaches this Group C4 match at home with four points and a 3-0 victory in Luxembourg, while Bulgaria has not won and remains on one point. Iceland’s advantage is based mainly on the standings, immediate form, and home advantage, but it is limited by the absence of official lineups and uncertainty surrounding certain Icelandic players.
Iceland drew 1-1 against Estonia at home on September 26, then won 3-0 in Luxembourg on September 29. Bulgaria lost 1-2 to Luxembourg at home on September 26, then drew 0-0 against Estonia on September 29, also at home.
Iceland is first with 4 points and Bulgaria is last with 1 point; four matchdays remain. No comparable sequence of xG, shots, or pressing data has been established for either team.
No recent meeting between Iceland and Bulgaria is documented in the official pages consulted before this match. No first-leg score exists in this edition, which constitutes their first group meeting.
Any older precedent would have limited significance due to changes in squads, coaches, and competitive context.
Regarding Bulgaria, a BTA publication dated October 2 indicates that all 25 players in the squad are available after Teodor Ivanov, ruled out with a muscle strain, was replaced by Atanas Iliev. For Iceland, the status of the absentees, goalkeeper and starters is not confirmed by the selected sources; the official lineups are still awaited.
Iceland may look to impose its home advantage, draw on its 3-0 victory in Luxembourg and attack the Bulgarian penalty area quickly. The opposite scenario is a compact Bulgaria capable of replicating its 0-0 against Estonia, defending deep and then exploiting the spaces behind the Icelandic full-backs, especially if Icelandic absences are confirmed.
The tight international window from September 24 to October 6 and Bulgaria’s first away trip of this campaign add potentially unfavorable context for Bulgaria, without any public measure allowing it to be quantified.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 1349 | 73 | |
| 90 | 1263 | 90 |
CoachA. Gunnlaugsson
CoachA. Ribarski
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
IslandeBulgarie
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
