Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
1xBet1.83
1xBet1.83
Betsson1.82
PMU1.67Archived odds
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Italie
Belgique
Timestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
1xBet1.83Betsson1.82PMU1.67Archived odds
Italy benefits from home advantage in Rome and an experienced core, which could favor transitions and the use of the channels.
Read the full analysisItaly benefits from home advantage in Rome and an experienced core, which could favor transitions and the use of the channels. This reading remains fragile: nine new call-ups, a change of head coach, a reported injury substitution for Federico Dimarco, and no confirmed lineup prevent establishing a verified collective advantage.
This is the first matchday of the 2026/27 Nations League league phase: no match from this edition had been played before the game. Italy and Belgium’s last matches actually played, their home/away conditions, rest, and starters’ minutes are not sufficiently documented.
Recent advanced statistics, notably xG, shots, and pressing, are information unavailable. Italy will play four matches between 25 September and 5 October, according to the FIGC, but rotation for this match remains only probable and unconfirmed.
Italy 2-2 Belgium, Nations League, 10 October 2024, in Rome; Italy led 2-0 before Belgium’s goals by Maxim De Cuyper and Leandro Trossard. This precedent is confirmed by the FIGC and recalled by UEFA.
Its prédictive relevance is limited: nearly two years separate the matches, and the coaches, roles, and squads have changed.
Federico Dimarco left the Italian camp injured on 21 September 2026, and Matteo Ruggeri was called up as a replacement, according to FIGC news consulted with caution, without a detailed page being opened. Any potential unavailability of Bryan Cristante and other Italian players is unknown.
The complete Belgian squad, absentees, and suspended players are not available. The contextual observation from 22 September does not constitute current medical confirmation.
The match is confirmed in the league phase, Group A1, on 25 September 2026 at 20 h 45 CEST, i.e. 18 h 45 UTC, at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, with Italy as the home team. The top two teams in the group qualify for the quarter-finals; the result also counts toward the League A standings.
Favorable scenario for Italy: its experienced core at home exploits the flanks and transitions, while a plan limiting Belgian transitions reduces their threat. Opposite scenario: Belgium fields its attacking regulars and established goalkeeper, quickly attacks the space behind the Italian full-backs, and benefits from an Italy side that has been reshuffled or is missing important players.
These mechanisms are tactical inferences, not measured statistics.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1713 | 15 | |
| 8 | 1779 | 8 |
CoachR. Mancini
CoachM. van Bommel
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 65 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 65 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 58 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 83 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
ItalieBelgique
RecordItalie · 1W · 1D · 1L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
