Prediction Manchester City – Ipswich: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

ManchesterCity

EPL · EnglandSeason 2026

Full time

3 – 2

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 16:00

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Ipswich

Estimated probabilityD

19'1-0Phil FodenManchester CityAssist · Jeremy Doku
21'1-1Daizen MaedaIpswichAssist · Abdoul Ouattara
34'2-1Erling HaalandManchester CityAssist · Mateo Kovačić
HT2-1
69'3-1Erling HaalandManchester CityAssist · Iliman Ndiaye
90'3-2Zian FlemmingFrom the penalty spotIpswich

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Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Analysis based on bookmaker coverage and available form data.

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Manchester City won all five of the officially consulted results before October 10: 5-3 against Sunderland on September 20, 5-0 against Norwich on September 17, 1-0 at Manchester United on September 13, 1-0 against Coventry on September 5, and 4-1 at Crystal Palace on August 28. Ipswich’s run is not sufficiently confirmed by an official results page.

The schedule had them facing Liverpool on September 5, Crystal Palace on September 12, Everton on September 19, and Fulham on October 10, but the scores and physical consequences remain unknown. City’s match at Liverpool on October 11 and Ipswich’s match against Fulham on October 10 also make rest and rotation harder to assess.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

No recent meeting from this season or the immediately preceding season was verified. However, an official Manchester City page mentions a previous FA Cup meeting in January 2002, as well as historic matches at Maine Road, without a usable score in the materials retained.

These precedents are too old to carry strong prédictive valeur, as the squads and managers have changed. The return match is scheduled in Ipswich on May 15, 2027.

Absences and returns

No specific absence or suspension for this match is confirmed as of October 10. Ipswich’s October 9 publication concerns Fulham and does not establish a player’s availability or starting status against Manchester City.

Context & news

The favorable scenario for Manchester City is based on home advantage and its five official wins, four of them by at least two goals: City could establish possession and sustained attacks. The opposing scenario would involve a compact Ipswich block, quick breaks behind the full-backs, and efficiency from set pieces, but this mechanism remains hypothetical due to a lack of verified statistics on Ipswich’s transitions, pressing, or shots.

The 5-3 against Sunderland also shows that City’s defensive transitions can remain exposed, without the precise cause being established.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final9 sections availableUpdated 31 Oct 2026, 03:38 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+11	18	6	0	0	16	5	WWWWW
2	6	+5	15	5	0	1	10	5	WLWWW
3	6	+13	13	4	1	1	18	5	WWWDL
4	6	+6	10	2	4	0	12	6	DWDDD
5	6	+3	10	2	4	0	8	5	DWDDD
6	6	+2	10	3	1	2	15	13	WLDLW
7	6	+3	9	2	3	1	8	5	LDWDD
···
8	6	+2	9	2	3	1	8	6	DLDDW
9	6	0	9	2	3	1	7	7	LWDWD
10	6	-3	9	3	0	3	9	12	WLWLL
11	6	-3	8	2	2	2	10	13	LWLDW
12	6	-3	7	2	1	3	9	12	WDLWL
13	6	0	6	1	3	2	9	9	DDLDW
14	6	-6	6	2	0	4	5	11	WWLLL
15	6	-3	5	1	2	3	5	8	LLWDD
16	6	-5	5	1	2	3	6	11	DWLDL
17	6	-6	4	1	1	4	6	12	LLLDW
18	6	-6	3	0	3	3	7	13	LLDDD
19	6	-6	3	0	3	3	3	9	DLDDL
20	6	-4	2	0	2	4	6	10	LDDLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Manchester City4-2-3-1

CoachE. Maresca

Ipswich3-4-2-1

CoachG. O'Neil

Full squad

Bench

Manchester City

Substitutes9

Ipswich

Substitutes9

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

66 matches
55 matches
46 matches
46 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

46 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches

CardsCards

46 matches
44 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches

Player statistics

Manchester City

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.01	0	0	0	0	90
6.16	0	0	0	0	76
6.98	0	0	2	3	90
6.88	0	0	0	0	90
5.75	0	0	0	1	61
7.7	0	1	0	0	50
6.66	0	0	0	0	90
6.43	0	1	0	4	90
8.2	1	0	1	3	77
7.32	0	1	0	1	77
9.8	2	0	2	5	90

See all (11)

Ipswich

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.65	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.06	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.41	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.18	0	0	0	1	89	0
6.75	0	1	0	1	90	1
5.9	0	0	0	0	71	0
6.61	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.26	0	0	0	0	90	1
6.97	1	0	1	1	71	0
5.75	0	0	0	0	78	0
6.33	0	0	0	3	78	0

See all (11)

Events

19'Goal · Assist: Jeremy DokuManchester City
21'Goal · Assist: Abdoul OuattaraIpswich
34'Goal · Assist: Mateo KovačićManchester City
50'SubstitutionManchester City
61'SubstitutionManchester City
69'Goal · Assist: Iliman NdiayeManchester City
71'SubstitutionIpswich
71'SubstitutionIpswich
73'Yellow card · FoulIpswich
76'SubstitutionManchester City
77'SubstitutionManchester City
77'SubstitutionManchester City
78'SubstitutionIpswich
78'SubstitutionIpswich
85'VARManchester City
88'VARIpswich
90'PenaltyIpswich
90+1'SubstitutionIpswich
90+7'Yellow card · FoulManchester City
90+12'Yellow card · FoulIpswich

See all (20)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

Manchester CityIpswich

3.61Expected goals1.72

6Shots on target3

1Saves4

19Shots8

1Yellow cards↓2

2Corners3

8Fouls↓16

All statistics (17)

Attack

15Shots inside the box7

4Shots outside the box1

6Blocked shots0

7Shots off target5

2Offsides5

Passing

70%Possession30%

679Accurate passes258

753Passes319

Discipline

0Red cards↓0

15Free kicks8

Head-to-head

W6–019 Jan 2025 · Premier League · Regular Season - 22
W4–124 Aug 2024 · Premier League · Regular Season - 2

RecordManchester City · 2W · 0D · 0L

Match information

Competition: EPL
Stadium: Etihad Stadium
City: Manchester
Referee: Farai Hallam
Capacity: 55,097
Surface: Natural grass

All our results

Loading match details…

ManchesterCity

EPL · EnglandSeason 2026

Full time

3 – 2

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 16:00

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Ipswich

Estimated probabilityD

19'1-0Phil FodenManchester CityAssist · Jeremy Doku
21'1-1Daizen MaedaIpswichAssist · Abdoul Ouattara
34'2-1Erling HaalandManchester CityAssist · Mateo Kovačić
HT2-1
69'3-1Erling HaalandManchester CityAssist · Iliman Ndiaye
90'3-2Zian FlemmingFrom the penalty spotIpswich

Marcelito prediction

This prediction is for members

Create your free account to see the pick, the odds and the probability for every match.

Every prediction, free
Pick, odds and probability
No card required

Create my free account I already have an account

18+ only.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Analysis based on bookmaker coverage and available form data.

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Head-to-head · Written before the match

These precedents are too old to carry strong prédictive valeur, as the squads and managers have changed. The return match is scheduled in Ipswich on May 15, 2027.

Absences and returns

Context & news

The 5-3 against Sunderland also shows that City’s defensive transitions can remain exposed, without the precise cause being established.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final9 sections availableUpdated 31 Oct 2026, 03:38 UTC

Standings

#	P	GD	Pts	W	D	L	BP	BC	Form
1	6	+11	18	6	0	0	16	5	WWWWW
2	6	+5	15	5	0	1	10	5	WLWWW
3	6	+13	13	4	1	1	18	5	WWWDL
4	6	+6	10	2	4	0	12	6	DWDDD
5	6	+3	10	2	4	0	8	5	DWDDD
6	6	+2	10	3	1	2	15	13	WLDLW
7	6	+3	9	2	3	1	8	5	LDWDD
···
8	6	+2	9	2	3	1	8	6	DLDDW
9	6	0	9	2	3	1	7	7	LWDWD
10	6	-3	9	3	0	3	9	12	WLWLL
11	6	-3	8	2	2	2	10	13	LWLDW
12	6	-3	7	2	1	3	9	12	WDLWL
13	6	0	6	1	3	2	9	9	DDLDW
14	6	-6	6	2	0	4	5	11	WWLLL
15	6	-3	5	1	2	3	5	8	LLWDD
16	6	-5	5	1	2	3	6	11	DWLDL
17	6	-6	4	1	1	4	6	12	LLLDW
18	6	-6	3	0	3	3	7	13	LLDDD
19	6	-6	3	0	3	3	3	9	DLDDL
20	6	-4	2	0	2	4	6	10	LDDLL

See full table

LineupsStarting XI

Manchester City4-2-3-1

CoachE. Maresca

Ipswich3-4-2-1

CoachG. O'Neil

Full squad

Bench

Manchester City

Substitutes9

Ipswich

Substitutes9

Top players

Meilleurs buteursGoals

66 matches
55 matches
46 matches
46 matches
45 matches

Meilleurs passeursAssists

46 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches
36 matches

CardsCards

46 matches
44 matches
35 matches
36 matches
36 matches

Player statistics

Manchester City

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.01	0	0	0	0	90
6.16	0	0	0	0	76
6.98	0	0	2	3	90
6.88	0	0	0	0	90
5.75	0	0	0	1	61
7.7	0	1	0	0	50
6.66	0	0	0	0	90
6.43	0	1	0	4	90
8.2	1	0	1	3	77
7.32	0	1	0	1	77
9.8	2	0	2	5	90

See all (11)

Ipswich

Rating	G	A	SoT	Shots	Min
6.65	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.06	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.41	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.18	0	0	0	1	89	0
6.75	0	1	0	1	90	1
5.9	0	0	0	0	71	0
6.61	0	0	0	0	90	0
6.26	0	0	0	0	90	1
6.97	1	0	1	1	71	0
5.75	0	0	0	0	78	0
6.33	0	0	0	3	78	0

See all (11)

Events

19'Goal · Assist: Jeremy DokuManchester City
21'Goal · Assist: Abdoul OuattaraIpswich
34'Goal · Assist: Mateo KovačićManchester City
50'SubstitutionManchester City
61'SubstitutionManchester City
69'Goal · Assist: Iliman NdiayeManchester City
71'SubstitutionIpswich
71'SubstitutionIpswich
73'Yellow card · FoulIpswich
76'SubstitutionManchester City
77'SubstitutionManchester City
77'SubstitutionManchester City
78'SubstitutionIpswich
78'SubstitutionIpswich
85'VARManchester City
88'VARIpswich
90'PenaltyIpswich
90+1'SubstitutionIpswich
90+7'Yellow card · FoulManchester City
90+12'Yellow card · FoulIpswich

See all (20)

Comparative statistics17 metrics

Manchester CityIpswich

3.61Expected goals1.72

6Shots on target3

1Saves4

19Shots8

1Yellow cards↓2

2Corners3

8Fouls↓16

All statistics (17)

Attack

15Shots inside the box7

4Shots outside the box1

6Blocked shots0

7Shots off target5

2Offsides5

Passing

70%Possession30%

679Accurate passes258

753Passes319

Discipline

0Red cards↓0

15Free kicks8

Head-to-head

W6–019 Jan 2025 · Premier League · Regular Season - 22
W4–124 Aug 2024 · Premier League · Regular Season - 2

RecordManchester City · 2W · 0D · 0L

Match information

Competition: EPL
Stadium: Etihad Stadium
City: Manchester
Referee: Farai Hallam
Capacity: 55,097
Surface: Natural grass

All our results