Montenegro wins
Price at publication 1.79
Archived odds
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Monténégro

Chypre
Timestamped proof
Montenegro wins
Price at publication 1.79
Archived odds
Montenegro benefits from home advantage and slightly more favorable recent momentum, while Cyprus arrives with two documented wins in 2026.
Read the full analysisMontenegro benefits from home advantage and slightly more favorable recent momentum, while Cyprus arrives with two documented wins in 2026. The reading favorable to the home side rests mainly on home advantage and their latest success, but it is limited by Marušić’s absence, uncertainty over the lineups, and the lack of comparable advanced data.
The match is part of the opening day of Group C2 of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, on 25 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC, with Montenegro at home. Montenegro beat Andorra 2-0 on 27 March, lost 2-3 to Slovenia on 31 March, won 1-0 in Bulgaria on 1 June, then drew 2-2 in Slovakia on 5 June, according to the Montenegrin Federation.
Cyprus beat Moldova 3-2 on 30 March and Liechtenstein 2-0 on 7 June; its draw in Slovenia on 4 June is confirmed without a visible score. Cyprus’s last five complete matches, xG, shots, pressing, and the detailed quality of chances are not sufficiently documented.
The calendar rest is long for both teams, but does not allow their current physical condition to be assessed.
No recent senior encounter with a date and score was extracted from the sources consulted; this does not mean that no history exists. The only documented previous meeting is a Montenegro-Cyprus U21 match that ended 1-1 on 5 June 2026 in Podgorica, which does not concern the senior team.
It therefore offers no usable prédictive signal for this senior match.
Adam Marušić was not called up by Montenegro due to an injury sustained on the first matchday of Serie A; this absence is confirmed in the 8 September 2026 publication. Aleksa Latković, who missed the June friendlies due to injury, was recalled.
No Cyprus-specific absence for this match has been confirmed. Other withdrawals, suspensions, goalkeepers and uncertain starters are information that is not available.
Favorable scenario for Montenegro: the team is playing at home, won 1-0 in Bulgaria before its 2-2 draw in Slovakia, and could benefit from the return of attacking players such as Adžić; the absence of Marušić and the system nevertheless remain unconfirmed. Favorable scenario for Cyprus: its 2-0 win in Liechtenstein and 3-2 win against Moldova show a recent ability to achieve positive results, particularly in an open match.
Cyprus could overturn the assessment if its midfield plays cleanly through the press, exploits the spaces behind Montenegro’s full-backs, or wins set pieces, but the necessary data on its defensive structure and chance volume are unavailable.
| Team | FIFA | FIFA points | Prev. rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 1315 | 79 | |
| 125 | 1142 | 125 |
CoachMirko Vucinić
CoachA. Mantzios
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
MonténégroChypre
RecordMonténégro · 1W · 1D · 1L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.