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Poblense
AD Ceuta FCPronostic Marcelito
Match finished — this forecast has been settled, see the day's review.
No bet retained: the estimated edge is not sufficiently substantiated; recent prices are not sufficiently corroborated.
Read the full analysisNo bet retained: the estimated edge is not sufficiently substantiated; recent prices are not sufficiently corroborated.
In the Copa del Rey, in the first single-leg round, Poblense hosts AD Ceuta FC on October 29, 2026, at Nou Camp/municipal de Sa Pobla, in Mallorca. Poblense has won its last three home matches and is coming off a 1-0 victory over Peña Deportiva on October 25, following wins against Yeclano and Castellón II.
Ceuta has lost three of its last five league matches, including a 3-1 defeat at Cádiz on October 25, but plays two levels above and showed in Cádiz a first half with possession and initiative. Both teams have four days of rest; however, Ceuta traveled from Cádiz and then stayed in Mallorca after the postponement.
No consistent and identifiable xG, shot-volume, or pressing indicator was retained.
No official meeting between Poblense and Ceuta is recorded in the sources consulted. References to Ceuta’s 2022/23 cup campaign concern other opponents and another season; they only shed light on the club’s historical experience and have limited prédictive valeur due to changes in the squad and context.
Anuar Tuhami and Kenneth Mamah were announced as absent through injury in Ceuta’s squad list published on 27 October 2026; this information is based on an indexed result that could not be reopened for a second direct confirmation. Joaquín González was announced as available after missing the match against Cádiz due to a contractual clause, and Arick Betancourt joined the squad.
No verifiable absentees or suspended players have been identified for Poblense. The actual extent of the absences and the goalkeeping situation remain unknown.
The favorable scenario for Poblense is based on its three consecutive victories in Sa Pobla, home advantage, and the format without a second leg, which may reduce Ceuta’s recovery margin. Poblense may also benefit from a heavily reshuffled visiting team and a tight match.
The favorable scenario for Ceuta is based on its professional level, experience in high-stakes matches, its recent ability to take the initiative through possession, and its extended stay in Majorca. Ceuta can reverse the trend if its technical superiority enables it to control the ball despite its recent difficulties; however, a very extensive rotation or further defensive absences would reduce this advantage.
No official lineup had been published before the analysis cutoff. The starting goalkeeper and starting XI for both teams remain unknown.
A Ceuta rotation is likely based on mentions of less-used players, including Umaru Konaré, Arick Betancourt and Abraham Bueno, but this does not constitute an announced lineup.
Pending