Under 2.5 goals
Archived odds
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RayoVallecano
AthleticClub
Timestamped proof
Under 2.5 goals
Archived odds
Rayo Vallecano returns to Vallecas, a setting that can support its transitions and intensity at home. Athletic nevertheless boasts a better defensive record on paper and can exploit the spaces left by an exposed Rayo.
Read the full analysisRayo Vallecano returns to Vallecas, a setting that can support its transitions and intensity at home. Athletic nevertheless boasts a better defensive record on paper and can exploit the spaces left by an exposed Rayo.
The decisive limitation remains the uncertainty surrounding Rayo’s lineups, goalkeeper and exact absences.
Rayo have won two of their last seven documented home matches, against Racing Santander (3-2) and Espanyol (2-1), but have also suffered heavy away defeats against Barcelona (2-5) and Real Madrid (1-4). The other results are Sevilla-Rayo 2-1, Rayo-Alavés 1-1 and Osasuna-Rayo 1-1.
LaLiga showed 11 goals scored and 16 conceded over seven matchdays. For Athletic, LaLiga confirmed six matches, 8 points, 7 goals scored and 6 conceded, without providing the complete list of opponents on the page consulted.
The provider’s historical results mention, in particular, 0-0 against Alavés, 1-1 against Elche, 3-0 against Atlético, 2-0 in Vigo and 0-2 against Barcelona, but they do not constitute independent confirmation. xG, shots and pressing data are not robustly comparable.
In 2025-2026, Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 1-1 at Vallecas on 28 February 2026, then Athletic won 1-0 in the first leg. These meetings are recent, but their prédictive valeur remains limited, as the squads, coaches and early-season context may have changed.
Rayo can benefit from the confirmed return to Vallecas, its home wins against Racing Santander and Espanyol, and look for quick transitions after an initial press. This scenario is weakened by the 16 goals conceded in seven matchdays and the heavy defeats suffered in Madrid and Barcelona.
Conversely, Athletic can rely on its 6 goals conceded in six matches to withstand pressure, then attack the spaces left by Rayo when it pushes forward. Nico Williams’ probable absence and the trip to Vallecas may nevertheless reduce this threat.
Both teams have 8 points, with Athletic having one fewer match in the LaLiga display.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +24 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 7 | +9 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 7 | +2 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | DWWWL | |
| 4 | 7 | +10 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | +1 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | LWWDL | |
| 6 | 7 | +5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | DLLWW | |
| 7 | 7 | +2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | DLDWW | |
| 8 | 7 | -4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | WLWDW | |
| 9 | 7 | +1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | WWLLL | |
| 10 | 6 | +1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | DDWWL | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | DLLWD | |
| 12 | 7 | -3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | WLDDL | |
| 13 | 7 | -5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | DWLWL | |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | DLLLW | |
| 15 | 7 | +2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | WDDDL | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | LLWLW | |
| 17 | 6 | -4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | LLDWD | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | WLDLL | |
| 19 | 7 | -9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | LWLLL | |
| 20 | 8 | -9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | DLLDD |
CoachBeñat San José
CoachE. Terzić
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
RecordRayo Vallecano · 2W · 1D · 0L