Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.21
Archived odds
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RayoVallecano
Elche
Timestamped proof
Over 1.5 goals
Archived odds 1.21
Archived odds
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 80.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 1.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 80.5 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
The match is played in Liga 2026-2027, matchday 10, on 24 October 2026 at 14 h local time at Estadio de Vallecas, with no neutral venue. Rayo did indeed play Osasuna 1-1 on 19 September, Espanyol 2-1 on 15 September, Real Madrid 4-1 on 12 September, and Racing Santander 3-2 on 5 September.
The match against Athletic on 10 October was suspended and is not counted. Rayo are 13th with 8 points, 11 goals scored, and 16 conceded after seven counted matches.
Elche played 0-0 against Celta on 11 October, with a 5-3-2, and are 18th with 5 points, 11 goals scored, and 17 conceded after seven counted matches. The aggregate data show 48% possession and 72 shots for Rayo against 52% and 74 shots for Elche, but their detailed scope does not allow for a fine comparison of chances; no verifiable xG is retained.
The documented head-to-head meetings are: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche on 3 April 2026; Elche 4-0 Rayo on 21 December 2025; Elche 4-0 Rayo on 29 April 2023; Rayo 2-1 Elche on 3 October 2022. The two matches from 2025-2026 are the most chronologically relevant, but the coaches, squads, and states of form may have changed.
The 2023 and 2022 matches are too old to be prioritized.
Rayo can benefit from Vallecas, its home wins against Espanyol and Racing, as well as an aggressive approach based on transitions and crosses; however, its pressing and efficiency in the box are not documented with sufficient precision. Elche can counter with a compact five-man block, close down the center and attack transitions, following its 0-0 draw against Celta in a 5-3-2.
The partial closure of the stand located above the dressing-room area, announced on 14 October with a €6,000 fine, changes the usual setting at Vallecas. The objective is to move away from the bottom of the table: Rayo have 8 points and Elche 5.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +30 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 9 | +11 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 9 | +14 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | WWLWW | |
| 4 | 9 | +2 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | LWDWW | |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | WWWLW | |
| 6 | 9 | -2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | LDLWW | |
| 7 | 9 | +3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | LLDLL | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | WDWDD | |
| 9 | 9 | +1 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | DLDLD | |
| 10 | 9 | -8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | WLDLL | |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | WDDLL | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | DLWWL | |
| 13 | 8 | -1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | LDDD | |
| 14 | 8 | -5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | DDWL | |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | DLWLD | |
| 16 | 9 | -1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | LDLLW | |
| 17 | 9 | -12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | LDLLW | |
| 18 | 9 | -6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | DDWLD | |
| 19 | 9 | -9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | DDLWL | |
| 20 | 9 | -12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | LDLLD |
CoachBeñat San José
CoachM. Anselmi
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 83 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 72 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Rayo VallecanoElche
RecordRayo Vallecano · 3W · 0D · 0L