Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds 1.33
Archived odds
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RealMadrid
Sevilla
Timestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Archived odds 1.33
Archived odds
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 70.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: Over 2.5 goals · Over/Under goals. Estimated probability: 70.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
The partial archives cover, in particular, Real Madrid’s matches from August 30 to September 20: 4-0 wins against Málaga, 0-1 against Real Betis, 4-1 against Rayo Vallecano, 3-2 at Elche, and a 1-2 defeat at Atlético. Sevilla is documented from August 29 to September 19: 1-3 defeats against Atlético and 1-3 at Barcelona, a 1-1 draw at Espanyol, 1-0 wins against Valencia and 1-0 at La Coruña.
These archives are explicitly partial and do not make it possible to establish the five most recent matches or a complete current form. The advanced data are not comparable over a consistent period and with a consistent provider.
The effectively documented LaLiga head-to-head is Real Madrid 2-0 Sevilla during the 2025-2026 season. Sevilla’s match page also mentions Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid in May 2026, Sevilla 0-2 Real Madrid in May 2025, and Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid in October 2023.
These results have limited prédictive valeur, as the squads, coaches, and season context may have changed.
The favorable scenario for Real Madrid is based on home advantage, a squad described as deep by Mourinho, and the possibility of imposing possession and territorial pressure. The previous 2-0 also featured a set-piece goal and a penalty after a foul in the box, without proving that these mechanisms will be repeated.
The opposite scenario is one in which Sevilla are capable of playing through the press and attacking the spaces left by a Madrid side committed high up the pitch, possibly aided by the travel burden before Levante and the gradual return of the internationals. Current data on Sevilla’s transitions and defensive structure do not allow this tactical advantage to be confirmed.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +30 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 9 | +11 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 9 | +2 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | LWDWW | |
| 4 | 8 | +11 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | WLWWL | |
| 5 | 8 | +1 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | DLWWD | |
| 6 | 8 | -3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | WWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | LDLLW | |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | DLDLD | |
| 9 | 7 | +1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | DDDW | |
| 10 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | DLWWL | |
| 11 | 8 | +2 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | DWDDD | |
| 12 | 9 | -1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | LDLLW | |
| 13 | 7 | -5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | DWLW | |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | LWLDD | |
| 15 | 8 | -10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | DLLWL | |
| 16 | 8 | -10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | LDLLL | |
| 17 | 8 | -4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | DDLLD | |
| 18 | 9 | -6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | DDWLD | |
| 19 | 9 | -9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | DDLWL | |
| 20 | 8 | -9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | DLLDD |
CoachJosé Mourinho
CoachLuis García
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 69 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Real MadridSevilla
RecordReal Madrid · 1W · 0D · 2L