Prediction Rep. Of Ireland – Israël: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

Rep. Of Ireland

Full time

1 - 1

Ligue des nations Sunday, 4 October 2026 · 20:45

PickMoins de 2.5 buts
Estimated probability55%

39'1-0Troy ParrottFrom the penalty spotRep. Of Ireland
HT1-0
47'1-1Dor PeretzIsrael

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Under 2.5 goals

Best odds

1xBet1.80

Pinnacle1.74

Bet3651.73

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe official lineups and the Israeli goalkeeper are unknown.
RiskThe Irish défense is affected by Abankwah’s suspension and Dara O’Shea’s absence.
RiskFatigue after three matches in seven days may affect the intensity level.

View more data

RiskThe neutral venue behind closed doors removes the usual home advantage.
RiskIsrael’s ability to defend deep can neutralize Ireland’s attacking mechanism.
Invalidation conditionOfficial lineup confirming a heavily reshuffled Irish défense.
Invalidation conditionWithdrawal or unexpected start for a goalkeeper, notably Kelleher, Glazer or Tzur.
Invalidation conditionChange of venue, time or behind-closed-doors conditions.
Invalidation conditionNew absence announced before kickoff by a club or federation.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Ireland come into the match with the strong reference point of a 3-0 victory over Israel on September 27, achieved through rapid runs in behind the défense.

Read the full analysis

Ireland come into the match with the strong reference point of a 3-0 victory over Israel on September 27, achieved through rapid runs in behind the défense. However, their advantage is tempered by the neutral venue behind closed doors, fatigue, and several defensive absences; the outcome will depend in particular on Israel’s ability to prevent balls in behind.

Recent form · Written before the match

Ireland lost 0-1 in Kosovo on September 24, beat Israel 3-0 on September 27, then drew 2-2 with Austria on October 1. Israel lost 1-3 to Austria on September 24, lost 0-3 to Ireland on September 27, then drew 0-0 with Kosovo on October 1.

Both teams therefore played three matches in seven days. No consistent and reliable dataset for xG, shots, or pressing has been established.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The recent documented meeting is Israel 0-3 Republic of Ireland, on September 27, 2026, in the Nations League, in Debrecen. Ireland scored three times in the first half.

This precedent shows concrete solutions in behind, but its prédictive valeur remains limited by possible changes to goalkeepers, defenders, lineups, and the neutral venue.

Absences and returns

Gavin Bazunu is not taking part in the match for personal reasons, not because of an injury. James Abankwah is suspended; Dara O’Shea did not travel for family reasons.

Daniel Peretz is reported likely to be out with a groin injury, but this information has not been confirmed by the Israeli federation. Sayed Abu Farchi is reported suspended after being sent off against Austria.

The lineups and any potential new absences remain unknown.

Context & news

The match belongs to Group B3 of the 2026-27 Nations League, on October 4, 2026. Ireland are nominally the home team, but the game is due to be played at the TSC Arena in Bačka Topola, Serbia, behind closed doors: kickoff time to be confirmed.

Favorable scenario for Ireland: their runs and passes behind the Israeli défense reproduce the mechanism of the 3-0 win. Opposite scenario: Israel closes down the space in behind, exploits a reshuffled Irish défense, and benefits from fatigue as well as the lack of home advantage.

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final8 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 02:11 UTC

Standings

Team	FIFA	FIFA points	Prev. rank
	77	1326	77

LineupsStarting XI

Rep. Of Ireland3-4-2-1

CoachH. Hallgrímsson

Israël5-4-1

CoachR. Ben Shimon

Full squad

Bench

Rep. Of Ireland

Substitutes12

Israël

Substitutes11

Player statistics

Rep. Of Ireland

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.42	0	0	0	90	0
7.08	0	0	0	90	0
7.28	0	0	1	90	0
6.33	0	0	1	90	1
6.35	0	0	0	90	0
6.45	0	0	1	90	0
6.62	0	0	0	84	0
6.24	0	0	3	84	0
6.73	0	0	0	69	0
6.46	0	1	4	69	0
7.49	1	2	4	90	0

See all (11)

Israël

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.33	0	0	0	90	0
6.28	0	1	2	72	0
6.18	0	0	0	78	0
6.39	0	0	0	90	1
6.89	0	0	0	90	0
6.4	0	0	0	90	0
7.38	1	1	1	78	1
6.54	0	0	1	90	0
5.97	0	0	1	58	0
6.65	0	0	3	90	0
6.64	0	0	0	58	0

See all (11)

Events

28'Yellow card · FoulIsraël
36'VARRep. Of Ireland
38'Yellow card · FoulIsraël
39'PenaltyRep. Of Ireland
44'Yellow card · FoulRep. Of Ireland
47'GoalIsraël
58'SubstitutionIsraël
58'SubstitutionIsraël
69'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
69'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
72'SubstitutionIsraël
78'SubstitutionIsraël
78'SubstitutionIsraël
84'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
84'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
90+2'Yellow card · FoulIsraël

See all (16)

Comparative statistics16 metrics

Rep. Of IrelandIsraël

4Shots on target2

1Saves3

15Shots10

1Yellow cards↓2

3Corners3

13Fouls↓15

0Red cards↓0

All statistics (16)

Attack

9Shots inside the box5

6Shots outside the box5

6Blocked shots1

5Shots off target7

1Offsides2

Passing

55%Possession45%

423Accurate passes353

511Passes423

Discipline

15Free kicks12

Head-to-head

W3–0last month · UEFA Nations League · League B - 2

RecordRep. Of Ireland · 1W · 0D · 0L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

4 October ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Ligue des nations
Venue: Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

All our results

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

Full time

Rep. Of Ireland

Full time

1 - 1

Ligue des nations Sunday, 4 October 2026 · 20:45

PickMoins de 2.5 buts
Estimated probability55%

39'1-0Troy ParrottFrom the penalty spotRep. Of Ireland
HT1-0
47'1-1Dor PeretzIsrael

Timestamped proof

Pronostic MarcelitoWon

Under 2.5 goals

Best odds

1xBet1.80

Pinnacle1.74

Bet3651.73

Archived odds

Factors analysed before the event

RiskThe official lineups and the Israeli goalkeeper are unknown.
RiskThe Irish défense is affected by Abankwah’s suspension and Dara O’Shea’s absence.
RiskFatigue after three matches in seven days may affect the intensity level.

View more data

RiskThe neutral venue behind closed doors removes the usual home advantage.
RiskIsrael’s ability to defend deep can neutralize Ireland’s attacking mechanism.
Invalidation conditionOfficial lineup confirming a heavily reshuffled Irish défense.
Invalidation conditionWithdrawal or unexpected start for a goalkeeper, notably Kelleher, Glazer or Tzur.
Invalidation conditionChange of venue, time or behind-closed-doors conditions.
Invalidation conditionNew absence announced before kickoff by a club or federation.

Detailed analysis

Written before the match

Ireland come into the match with the strong reference point of a 3-0 victory over Israel on September 27, achieved through rapid runs in behind the défense.

Read the full analysis

Recent form · Written before the match

Both teams therefore played three matches in seven days. No consistent and reliable dataset for xG, shots, or pressing has been established.

Head-to-head · Written before the match

The recent documented meeting is Israel 0-3 Republic of Ireland, on September 27, 2026, in the Nations League, in Debrecen. Ireland scored three times in the first half.

This precedent shows concrete solutions in behind, but its prédictive valeur remains limited by possible changes to goalkeepers, defenders, lineups, and the neutral venue.

Absences and returns

Gavin Bazunu is not taking part in the match for personal reasons, not because of an injury. James Abankwah is suspended; Dara O’Shea did not travel for family reasons.

The lineups and any potential new absences remain unknown.

Context & news

Match data

Data overviewPartial data

Final8 sections availableUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 02:11 UTC

Standings

Team	FIFA	FIFA points	Prev. rank
	77	1326	77

LineupsStarting XI

Rep. Of Ireland3-4-2-1

CoachH. Hallgrímsson

Israël5-4-1

CoachR. Ben Shimon

Full squad

Bench

Rep. Of Ireland

Substitutes12

Israël

Substitutes11

Player statistics

Rep. Of Ireland

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.42	0	0	0	90	0
7.08	0	0	0	90	0
7.28	0	0	1	90	0
6.33	0	0	1	90	1
6.35	0	0	0	90	0
6.45	0	0	1	90	0
6.62	0	0	0	84	0
6.24	0	0	3	84	0
6.73	0	0	0	69	0
6.46	0	1	4	69	0
7.49	1	2	4	90	0

See all (11)

Israël

Rating	G	SoT	Shots	Min
6.33	0	0	0	90	0
6.28	0	1	2	72	0
6.18	0	0	0	78	0
6.39	0	0	0	90	1
6.89	0	0	0	90	0
6.4	0	0	0	90	0
7.38	1	1	1	78	1
6.54	0	0	1	90	0
5.97	0	0	1	58	0
6.65	0	0	3	90	0
6.64	0	0	0	58	0

See all (11)

Events

28'Yellow card · FoulIsraël
36'VARRep. Of Ireland
38'Yellow card · FoulIsraël
39'PenaltyRep. Of Ireland
44'Yellow card · FoulRep. Of Ireland
47'GoalIsraël
58'SubstitutionIsraël
58'SubstitutionIsraël
69'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
69'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
72'SubstitutionIsraël
78'SubstitutionIsraël
78'SubstitutionIsraël
84'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
84'SubstitutionRep. Of Ireland
90+2'Yellow card · FoulIsraël

See all (16)

Comparative statistics16 metrics

Rep. Of IrelandIsraël

4Shots on target2

1Saves3

15Shots10

1Yellow cards↓2

3Corners3

13Fouls↓15

0Red cards↓0

All statistics (16)

Attack

9Shots inside the box5

6Shots outside the box5

6Blocked shots1

5Shots off target7

1Offsides2

Passing

55%Possession45%

423Accurate passes353

511Passes423

Discipline

15Free kicks12

Head-to-head

W3–0last month · UEFA Nations League · League B - 2

RecordRep. Of Ireland · 1W · 0D · 0L

Verify this result

This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.

4 October ledger All our results

Match information

Competition: Ligue des nations
Venue: Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

All our results