SV Elversberg +1.5
Best odds
Winamax1.18
Winamax1.18
PMU1.15Observed odds
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SVElversberg
FSV Mainz05
SV Elversberg +1.5
Winamax1.18PMU1.15Observed odds
Prediction: SV Elversberg +1.5 · Handicap. Estimated probability: 80.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisPrediction: SV Elversberg +1.5 · Handicap. Estimated probability: 80.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Elversberg won 4-3 against Augsburg on October 17, after mixed results against Union Berlin, Schalke, Bayern, Mönchengladbach and Leverkusen. Across the six documented matchdays, the team scored 12 goals and conceded 11.
Mainz had notably won 5-0 in Hamburg, 4-3 in Mönchengladbach and 1-0 at Schalke, with six shots on target and more than 60% possession in the first half at Schalke. After six matches, both teams had 10 points; Mainz had a goal difference of 14-10 compared with 12-11 for Elversberg.
No xG, complete shot volume or comparable pressing indicator has been established.
No recent prior meeting between Elversberg and Mainz with a verifiable score and date is documented. The return match scheduled for March 2027 is not a precedent.
The lack of usable recent history limits any direct comparison, while very old meetings are not used as a signal.
No reliable pre-match list or verifiable suspension has been established for this match. A Mainz press conference on October 16 reported that Robin Zentner, Otto Ruoppi and Silas were unavailable for Schalke at the time, but their status on October 30 remains unknown.
Elversberg can take advantage of its usual home ground and an open match to exploit transitions, having scored four goals against Augsburg and won two home matches in the documented sample. Conversely, Mainz can impose a compact block, defend spaces, then attack second balls, as in its victory at Schalke.
The opposite scenario is clear: a high tempo and Mainz turnovers could expose its défense, while Elversberg could be penalized by rotation or fatigue after Leipzig and the Cup. These matches on October 24 and 27 are subsequent to the verified information, and their effects remain unknown.
The starting lineups, starting goalkeeper and uncertain starters have not been announced or verified before the match. The kickoff time is to be confirmed: 19:30 is indicated by the Bundesliga, while Mainz and the club schedule indicate 20:30 without a clearly specified time zone.
Eleven from the previous match, against RB Leipzig on 24 October 2026
CoachV. Wagner
Eleven from the previous match, against Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026
CoachU. Fischer
Bench
SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05
RecordSV Elversberg · 0W · 0D · 2L
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +19 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 7 | +8 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | WDDWW | |
| 3 | 7 | +7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | LLWDW | |
| 4 | 7 | +4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | LWWWD | |
| 5 | 7 | +9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | WLWLW | |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | WDDWD | |
| 7 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | LWLWL | |
| 8 | 7 | -3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | LWLDL | |
| 9 | 7 | +4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13 | DLDLD | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | WWLLW | |
| 11 | 7 | -10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | LWWWL | |
| 12 | 7 | -3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | DLWLD | |
| 13 | 7 | -3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WDLWL | |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | LWLDW | |
| 15 | 7 | -3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | LLWLL | |
| 16 | 7 | -3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DLLDW | |
| 17 | 7 | -12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | DDWLL | |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 22 | WLLLL |
