Under 6.5 goals
Price at publication 1.80
Archived odds
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NHLSeason 2026
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · 01:10
Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars
PPG Paints Arena · Pittsburgh, PA
Timestamped proof
Under 6.5 goals
Price at publication 1.80
Archived odds
What the published prediction returned once the match was played.
Dallas comes in with a slight situational edge thanks to its 4-0 win in Buffalo and its favorable recent history, but Pittsburgh retains important home-ice arguments in the special teams.
Read the full analysisNHL regular-season game between the Pittsburgh Penguins, at home at PPG Paints Arena, and the Dallas Stars, on the road. Both teams are 2-2-0 after four games; Pittsburgh is 1-1-0 at home and Dallas is 1-1-0 on the road.
Pittsburgh is playing back-to-back after Columbus on October 9, while Dallas is coming off a 4-0 win in Buffalo on October 8. The sample is short and the individual minute workload has not been established.
The Stars' guide indicates that Dallas has won eight of its last ten matchups against Pittsburgh, as well as its last three visits to Pittsburgh. The dates, seasons, and scores of these individual meetings are not documented here.
This history supports the favorable context for Dallas, but it does not measure the current rosters, goaltenders, or the impact of the back-to-back; its prédictive valeur therefore remains limited.
Pittsburgh may look to accelerate in transition and exploit its special teams: 30.8% on the power play and 90.0% on the penalty kill over the first four games, compared with 10.0% and 83.3% for Dallas. Novak had five points in four games and Nick Robertson three goals in five games.
Reverse scenario: Dallas may impose its possession and movement on the power play, with Rantanen at six points and a recent 4-0 win; its structural power-play advantage was 28.6% the previous season, second in the NHL, despite only 10.0% currently. The first scenario is weakened by Pittsburgh's fatigue and possible absences; the second by Duchene's reported absence, travel, and the current poor power-play output.
Starting goaltenders and final lineups are not confirmed. The detailed rules, exact ice dimensions, and referees have not been verified. The schedule is to be confirmed: 23:00Z in the official guide versus 23:10Z in the event listing.
Pittsburgh PenguinsDallas Stars
| Rank | Team | GP | W | L | Diff | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Rangers | 6 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Boston Bruins | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 8 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Washington Capitals | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 7 | Florida Panthers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 5 |
| 9 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| Rank | Team | GP | W | L | Diff | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegas Golden Knights | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 8 |
| 2 | Edmonton Oilers | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 3 | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Colorado Avalanche | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 6 |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 4 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Dallas Stars | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 4 |
| 12 | Vancouver Canucks | 5 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
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The market shows no clear enough opportunity.
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.