Under 6.5 goals
Observed odds 1.86
Observed odds
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NHLSeason 2026
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 00:00
Vancouver Canucks
Toronto Maple Leafs
Rogers Arena · Vancouver
Under 6.5 goals
Observed odds 1.86
Observed odds
Prediction: Under 6.5 goals · Over/Under. Estimated probability: 51.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.
Read the full analysisVancouver came in with a 3-11-1 record and only one win in its last twelve games, after a 3-2 loss in San Jose on October 29 despite a 2-0 lead after two periods. Elias Pettersson was on a six-game point streak and Liam Öhgren had scored in two straight games.
Toronto was presented on October 28 with a 7-5-2 record, after a road trip that included Edmonton, Calgary and Seattle. Auston Matthews, William Nylander and Gavin McKenna were in the projected lineup, but several defensive or offensive players were absent or uncertain.
Vancouver benefits from home ice, while Toronto is playing the fourth and final game of its mentioned road trip.
No recent head-to-head meeting between the two teams is documented in the retained elements. The absence of a verifiable direct result limits the assessment of a specific edge related to previous matchups.
Thatcher Demko was reported injured in the hip on October 29, with no confirmation of his availability against Toronto. John Tavares was expected to miss the four-game road trip.
Nick Blankenburg and Marshall Rifai were listed as "week to week" in the latest open NHL report. Chris Tanev, previously "week to week," had moved to "day to day" on October 28 and had skated in a regular jersey, with no confirmation of his participation.
The final status of Tanev and the other uncertain players was not confirmed.
Vancouver scenario: home ice, the recent production of Elias Pettersson, Brock Boeser and Liam Öhgren, as well as the ability shown to come back in certain games, can keep the Canucks in the matchup. Limitations: the recent 3-11-1 run, the third-period collapse in San Jose and the uncertainty surrounding Demko weaken this scenario.
Toronto scenario: offensive depth and Vancouver's structural difficulties can favor the Maple Leafs, especially if Chris Tanev returns. Limitations: Toronto is finishing a four-game road trip, John Tavares is announced out and defensive uncertainties make the team's true level harder to read.
Exact travel times, individual fatigue, the October 30 practice and confirmed goaltenders remain unknown.
Regular season NHL ice hockey game, under the usual rules, between the Vancouver Canucks and the Toronto Maple Leafs. The starting goaltenders, scratches and last-minute call-ups were not confirmed.
For Vancouver, Leevi Meriläinen was expected in the projection against San Jose, with Kevin Lankinen as the fallback option. For Toronto, the projected lineup for October 28 included Auston Matthews, William Nylander and Gavin McKenna.
Vancouver CanucksToronto Maple Leafs
| Rank | Team | GP | W | L | Diff | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild | 15 | 9 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Edmonton Oilers | 13 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights | 14 | 9 | 4 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Utah Mammoth | 14 | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 13 | 4 | 9 | -21 | 8 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 15 | 3 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| Rank | Team | GP | W | L | Diff | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 15 | 11 | 2 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 | Boston Bruins | 14 | 9 | 4 | +18 | 19 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 13 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 12 | 8 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 | New York Islanders | 13 | 7 | 4 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 15 | 7 | 6 | +5 | 16 |
| 11 | Buffalo Sabres | 13 | 6 | 4 | -7 | 15 |
| Line 1 | – – |
|---|---|
| Line 2 | – – |
| Line 3 | – – |
| Line 4 | – – |
| Pair 1 | – |
|---|---|
| Pair 2 | – |
| Pair 3 | – |
| Probable goalies | save % | GAA |
|---|---|---|
| .898 | 3.33 | |
| .812 | 6.17 |
| Line 1 | – – |
|---|---|
| Line 2 | – – |
| Line 3 | – – |
| Line 4 | – – |
| Pair 1 | – |
|---|---|
| Pair 2 | – |
| Pair 3 | – |
| Probable goalies | save % | GAA |
|---|---|---|
| .885 | 3.29 | |
| .907 | 2.80 |
Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.