Prediction Marquel Mederos – Mason Jones: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

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MMA

against

WinnerMarquel Mederos · KO/TKO · R2

Sunday, 23 August 202602:00

Fight finished

Marcelito pickLost

Plus de 2.5 rounds

64%

Operator odds are not available right now

11
Wins: 1
Losses: 1
Draws

Age: 29
Height: 178 cm
Reach: 177 cm
Weight: 70.8 kg
Stance: Orthodox

FactoryX Muay Thai

« The Dragon »

18
Wins: 2
Losses: 0
Draws

Age: 31
Height: 178 cm
Reach: 188 cm
Weight: 70.8 kg
Stance: Orthodox

Pedro Bessa BJJ

Fighting style analysis

Marquel Mederos

Key stats (career averages)

3.67Significant strikes / min4.10
60%Significant strike accuracy45%
0.13Takedowns / 15 min2.57
6%Takedown accuracy59%
0.00Submissions / 15 min0.14
81%Takedown defence75%
5.21Strikes absorbed / min4.80
52%Significant strike defense51%

Each axis comes from a measured career average, scaled to a fixed 0–100 range.

Mason Jones

Tactical analysis

Measured advantages of Marquel Mederos

Précision de frappe (60 %)
Excellente défense de takedown (81 %)
Bon cardio : plusieurs victoires dans les derniers rounds

Measured advantages of Mason Jones

Lutte offensive (2.57 takedowns / 15 min)
Bon cardio : plusieurs victoires dans les derniers rounds
Avantage d'allonge : +11 cm

Watch out for

Encaisse beaucoup (5.21 coups / min)

Watch out for

Encaisse beaucoup (4.8 coups / min)

Striking vs grappling — detailed comparison

Marquel Mederos · Striking

Significant strikes / min3.67
Significant strike accuracy60%
Strikes absorbed / min5.21
Significant strike defense52%

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 min0.13
Takedown accuracy6%
Submissions / 15 min0.00
Takedown defence81%

Mason Jones · Striking

Significant strikes / min4.10
Significant strike accuracy45%
Strikes absorbed / min4.80
Significant strike defense51%

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 min2.57
Takedown accuracy59%
Submissions / 15 min0.14
Takedown defence75%

Fight prediction

Method of victory

Marquel Mederos
KO/TKO24%
Submission3%
Decision18%

Mason Jones
KO/TKO24%
Submission11%
Decision21%

Round of victory

R1Marquel Mederos 12%, Mason Jones 15%
R2Marquel Mederos 10%, Mason Jones 13%
R3Marquel Mederos 4%, Mason Jones 6%
DecisionMarquel Mederos 18%, Mason Jones 21%

Fight information

Date: Sunday, 23 August 2026 · 02:00
Competition: MMA
Scheduled rounds: 3 rounds

Detailed analysis

Fighters' momentum

Mederos remains on a majority draw and shows four wins and one draw in his last five fights. Jones has won his last three UFC fights.

Head-to-head

No direct confrontation listed.

Preparation and physical condition

No injury information available

Context & news

Individual lightweight bout announced for UFC Fight Night 285 at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. The local date indicated is August 22, 2026, potentially August 23 in UTC.

Matchup and opponent

Lineups not yet published

Pick summary

The market clearly favors Mason Jones, while the file describes two solid recent dynamics without additional decisive factual advantage.

Alerts & record

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