Prediction Botic van de Zandschulp – Daniel Merida Aguilar: analysis, odds and forecast

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

NEDNo.37 ATP

Shanghai ATP

Final

Men’s singles

Thursday, 8 October 2026 · 11:23

Daniel MeridaAguilar

Marcelito predictionWon

Over 22.5 games

Over/Under

Win probability

51%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

A very even first-round match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniel Mérida Aguilar. Van de Zandschulp can rely on his experience and his serve-and-volley profile, while Mérida Aguilar has recent momentum that could make him competitive. The decisive limitation is the lack of reliable data on physical condition, recent workload, and official match statistics.

The actual physical condition of both players has not been confirmed before the match.
Actual start time uncertain, as the match follows another match on the same court.
Recent workload, any qualifying matches, and exact recovery status have not been established.
Precise weather conditions at the time of the match are unknown.

See more details

Detailed analysis

Men’s singles, ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai, first round (R128), best of three sets with a tiebreak according to standard ATP rules. The tournament is probably played on outdoor hard courts. Van de Zandschulp is Dutch and Mérida Aguilar is Spanish. Van de Zandschulp is coming off a victory over Francisco Cerúndolo, 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, on October 1, following a win over Jan Choinski and a loss to Alex de Minaur at the US Open. Mérida Aguilar has several listed victories over Juncheng Shang, Andrey Rublev, Alexander Michelsen, and Taylor Fritz, but the tournament and level of each match are not always clearly established.Read the full analysis

Recent form

Men’s singles, ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai, first round (R128), best of three sets with a tiebreak according to standard ATP rules. The tournament is probably played on outdoor hard courts.

Van de Zandschulp is Dutch and Mérida Aguilar is Spanish. Van de Zandschulp is coming off a victory over Francisco Cerúndolo, 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, on October 1, following a win over Jan Choinski and a loss to Alex de Minaur at the US Open.

Mérida Aguilar has several listed victories over Juncheng Shang, Andrey Rublev, Alexander Michelsen, and Taylor Fritz, but the tournament and level of each match are not always clearly established.

Head-to-head

No recent head-to-head meeting is documented in the materials consulted. The history between the two players therefore remains incomplete and provides no usable predictive reference point.

Line-up and availability

The confirmed participants are Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniel Mérida Aguilar. Both are listed on the official schedule for October 8.

The match is scheduled to follow Marcos Giron–Sebastián Báez on Show Court 3; the fixed time is to be confirmed.

Market reading

Selection: Over 22.5 games (Totals). Estimated probability: 51,3 %, based on market odds. Odds 1.9. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Recent form

Botic van de Zandschulp2 W - 2 L

01 Oct 2026vs Francisco Cerundolo7-5 4-6 3-6L
29 Sept 2026vs Cui Jie6-4 6-4W
28 Sept 2026vs Valentin Royer4-6 6-2 6-4W
25 Sept 2026vs Nikoloz Basilashvili4-6 5-7L

Daniel Merida Aguilar0 W - 1 L

08 Oct 2026vs Botic van de ZandschulpL

ATP ranking

#	Player	Points
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260

See the full ranking

1	Jannik Sinner	10,450
2	Alexander Zverev	9,750
3	Carlos Alcaraz	5,610
4	Ben Shelton	4,680
5	Daniil Medvedev	3,860
6	Flavio Cobolli	3,690
7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	3,515
8	Arthur Fils	3,425
9	Frances Tiafoe	3,380
10	Alex de Minaur	3,280
11	Rafael Jodar	3,234
12	Novak Djokovic	3,090
13	Taylor Fritz	2,995
14	Tommy Paul	2,675
15	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2,600
16	Jakub Mensik	2,495
17	Brandon Nakashima	2,375
18	Learner Tien	2,345
19	Francisco Cerundolo	2,310
20	Alexander Bublik	2,285
21	Jiri Lehecka	2,275
22	Andrey Rublev	2,175
23	Luciano Darderi	2,160
24	Karen Khachanov	2,030
25	Casper Ruud	1,995
26	Lorenzo Musetti	1,920
27	Alexander Blockx	1,790
28	Hubert Hurkacz	1,585
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430
34	Alex Michelsen	1,410
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260
40	Joao Fonseca	1,250
41	Cameron Norrie	1,195
42	Daniel Merida	1,195
43	Mariano Navone	1,164
44	Arthur Gea	1,160
45	Quentin Halys	1,127
46	Luca Van Assche	1,105
47	Jan-Lennard Struff	1,084
48	Matteo Berrettini	1,083
49	Sebastian Baez	1,044
50	Tallon Griekspoor	1,035
51	Thiago Agustin Tirante	1,024
52	Denis Shapovalov	1,015
53	Nuno Borges	1,000
54	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1,000
55	Raphael Collignon	993
56	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	947
57	Jaime Faria	941
58	Miomir Kecmanovic	930
59	Yannick Hanfmann	923
60	Daniel Altmaier	874
61	Arthur Rinderknech	870
62	Ethan Quinn	861
63	Fabian Marozsan	860
64	Vit Kopriva	844
65	Jaume Munar	835
66	Mattia Bellucci	824
67	Martin Landaluce	822
68	James Duckworth	814
69	Roman Safiullin	807
70	Facundo Diaz Acosta	807
71	Tomas Machac	804
72	Titouan Droguet	801
73	Adrian Mannarino	783
74	Pablo Carreno Busta	773
75	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	770
76	Zachary Svajda	759
77	Roman Andres Burruchaga	754
78	Hamad Medjedovic	751
79	Kyrian Jacquet	741
80	Alex Molcan	734
81	Sebastian Korda	730
82	Kamil Majchrzak	725
83	Damir Dzumhur	712
84	Aleksandar Kovacevic	703
85	Rinky Hijikata	689
86	Jacob Fearnley	686
87	Chak Lam Coleman Wong	678
88	Marcos Giron	676
89	Marco Trungelliti	670
90	Terence Atmane	666
91	Lorenzo Sonego	658
92	Bu Yunchaokete	652
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
98	Adam Walton	619
99	Benjamin Bonzi	617
100	Henrique Rocha	596
101	Michael Zheng	594
102	Jesper de Jong	591
103	Corentin Moutet	590
104	Zsombor Piros	590
105	Martin Damm	582
106	Sho Shimabukuro	580
107	Wu Yibing	571
108	Lloyd Harris	571
109	Aleksandr Shevchenko	559
110	Hugo Gaston	548
111	Thiago Seyboth Wild	545
112	Dane Sweeny	538
113	Gustavo Heide	535
114	Jan Choinski	533
115	Nicolas Mejia	519
116	Aleksandar Vukic	507
117	Valentin Royer	506
118	Christopher O'Connell	499
119	Hugo Dellien	498
120	Dalibor Svrcina	494
121	Otto Virtanen	493
122	Sebastian Ofner	491
123	Emilio Nava	484
124	Grigor Dimitrov	472
125	Rei Sakamoto	469
126	Pedro Martinez	462
127	Alexei Popyrin	458
128	Francisco Comesana	455
129	Shintaro Mochizuki	451
130	Alexandre Muller	441
131	Nishesh Basavareddy	432
132	Stefanos Sakellaridis	431
133	Max Alcala Gurri	430
134	Clement Chidekh	428
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404
140	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	403
141	Tristan Schoolkate	403
142	Federico Cina	401
143	Marton Fucsovics	400
144	Darwin Blanch	397
145	Vilius Gaubas	396
146	Ilia Simakin	396
147	Michael Mmoh	386
148	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	385
149	Gabriel Diallo	382
150	Elmer Moller	378

Players & profiles

No.37 ATP

Age: 31 years
Height: 1,91 m
Weight: 85 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Wageningen, Netherlands

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Keys to the match

van de Zandschulp scenario: his main-tour experience and size may favor short service points and forehand-led exchanges on hard court.
This reading is limited by the absence of recent official statistics on his serve, return, and physical workload.
Mérida Aguilar scenario: her recent momentum and exposure to several established opponents may help her impose a high pace on return.
This hypothesis is limited by the lack of official detail on her results and by her still limited experience in Masters 1000 events.

Players & fitness

No injury, discomfort, medical treatment, or withdrawal decision has been confirmed before the information cutoff.
Inclusion in the schedule does not guarantee actual presence on court.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

NEDNo.37 ATP

Shanghai ATP

Final

Men’s singles

Thursday, 8 October 2026 · 11:23

Daniel MeridaAguilar

Marcelito predictionWon

Over 22.5 games

Over/Under

Win probability

51%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

The actual physical condition of both players has not been confirmed before the match.
Actual start time uncertain, as the match follows another match on the same court.
Recent workload, any qualifying matches, and exact recovery status have not been established.
Precise weather conditions at the time of the match are unknown.

See more details

Detailed analysis

Recent form

Men’s singles, ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai, first round (R128), best of three sets with a tiebreak according to standard ATP rules. The tournament is probably played on outdoor hard courts.

Mérida Aguilar has several listed victories over Juncheng Shang, Andrey Rublev, Alexander Michelsen, and Taylor Fritz, but the tournament and level of each match are not always clearly established.

Head-to-head

No recent head-to-head meeting is documented in the materials consulted. The history between the two players therefore remains incomplete and provides no usable predictive reference point.

Line-up and availability

The confirmed participants are Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniel Mérida Aguilar. Both are listed on the official schedule for October 8.

The match is scheduled to follow Marcos Giron–Sebastián Báez on Show Court 3; the fixed time is to be confirmed.

Market reading

Selection: Over 22.5 games (Totals). Estimated probability: 51,3 %, based on market odds. Odds 1.9. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.

Recent form

Botic van de Zandschulp2 W - 2 L

01 Oct 2026vs Francisco Cerundolo7-5 4-6 3-6L
29 Sept 2026vs Cui Jie6-4 6-4W
28 Sept 2026vs Valentin Royer4-6 6-2 6-4W
25 Sept 2026vs Nikoloz Basilashvili4-6 5-7L

Daniel Merida Aguilar0 W - 1 L

08 Oct 2026vs Botic van de ZandschulpL

ATP ranking

#	Player	Points
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260

See the full ranking

1	Jannik Sinner	10,450
2	Alexander Zverev	9,750
3	Carlos Alcaraz	5,610
4	Ben Shelton	4,680
5	Daniil Medvedev	3,860
6	Flavio Cobolli	3,690
7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	3,515
8	Arthur Fils	3,425
9	Frances Tiafoe	3,380
10	Alex de Minaur	3,280
11	Rafael Jodar	3,234
12	Novak Djokovic	3,090
13	Taylor Fritz	2,995
14	Tommy Paul	2,675
15	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2,600
16	Jakub Mensik	2,495
17	Brandon Nakashima	2,375
18	Learner Tien	2,345
19	Francisco Cerundolo	2,310
20	Alexander Bublik	2,285
21	Jiri Lehecka	2,275
22	Andrey Rublev	2,175
23	Luciano Darderi	2,160
24	Karen Khachanov	2,030
25	Casper Ruud	1,995
26	Lorenzo Musetti	1,920
27	Alexander Blockx	1,790
28	Hubert Hurkacz	1,585
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430
34	Alex Michelsen	1,410
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260
40	Joao Fonseca	1,250
41	Cameron Norrie	1,195
42	Daniel Merida	1,195
43	Mariano Navone	1,164
44	Arthur Gea	1,160
45	Quentin Halys	1,127
46	Luca Van Assche	1,105
47	Jan-Lennard Struff	1,084
48	Matteo Berrettini	1,083
49	Sebastian Baez	1,044
50	Tallon Griekspoor	1,035
51	Thiago Agustin Tirante	1,024
52	Denis Shapovalov	1,015
53	Nuno Borges	1,000
54	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1,000
55	Raphael Collignon	993
56	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	947
57	Jaime Faria	941
58	Miomir Kecmanovic	930
59	Yannick Hanfmann	923
60	Daniel Altmaier	874
61	Arthur Rinderknech	870
62	Ethan Quinn	861
63	Fabian Marozsan	860
64	Vit Kopriva	844
65	Jaume Munar	835
66	Mattia Bellucci	824
67	Martin Landaluce	822
68	James Duckworth	814
69	Roman Safiullin	807
70	Facundo Diaz Acosta	807
71	Tomas Machac	804
72	Titouan Droguet	801
73	Adrian Mannarino	783
74	Pablo Carreno Busta	773
75	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	770
76	Zachary Svajda	759
77	Roman Andres Burruchaga	754
78	Hamad Medjedovic	751
79	Kyrian Jacquet	741
80	Alex Molcan	734
81	Sebastian Korda	730
82	Kamil Majchrzak	725
83	Damir Dzumhur	712
84	Aleksandar Kovacevic	703
85	Rinky Hijikata	689
86	Jacob Fearnley	686
87	Chak Lam Coleman Wong	678
88	Marcos Giron	676
89	Marco Trungelliti	670
90	Terence Atmane	666
91	Lorenzo Sonego	658
92	Bu Yunchaokete	652
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
98	Adam Walton	619
99	Benjamin Bonzi	617
100	Henrique Rocha	596
101	Michael Zheng	594
102	Jesper de Jong	591
103	Corentin Moutet	590
104	Zsombor Piros	590
105	Martin Damm	582
106	Sho Shimabukuro	580
107	Wu Yibing	571
108	Lloyd Harris	571
109	Aleksandr Shevchenko	559
110	Hugo Gaston	548
111	Thiago Seyboth Wild	545
112	Dane Sweeny	538
113	Gustavo Heide	535
114	Jan Choinski	533
115	Nicolas Mejia	519
116	Aleksandar Vukic	507
117	Valentin Royer	506
118	Christopher O'Connell	499
119	Hugo Dellien	498
120	Dalibor Svrcina	494
121	Otto Virtanen	493
122	Sebastian Ofner	491
123	Emilio Nava	484
124	Grigor Dimitrov	472
125	Rei Sakamoto	469
126	Pedro Martinez	462
127	Alexei Popyrin	458
128	Francisco Comesana	455
129	Shintaro Mochizuki	451
130	Alexandre Muller	441
131	Nishesh Basavareddy	432
132	Stefanos Sakellaridis	431
133	Max Alcala Gurri	430
134	Clement Chidekh	428
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404
140	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	403
141	Tristan Schoolkate	403
142	Federico Cina	401
143	Marton Fucsovics	400
144	Darwin Blanch	397
145	Vilius Gaubas	396
146	Ilia Simakin	396
147	Michael Mmoh	386
148	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	385
149	Gabriel Diallo	382
150	Elmer Moller	378

Players & profiles

No.37 ATP

Age: 31 years
Height: 1,91 m
Weight: 85 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Wageningen, Netherlands

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Keys to the match

van de Zandschulp scenario: his main-tour experience and size may favor short service points and forehand-led exchanges on hard court.
This reading is limited by the absence of recent official statistics on his serve, return, and physical workload.
Mérida Aguilar scenario: her recent momentum and exposure to several established opponents may help her impose a high pace on return.
This hypothesis is limited by the lack of official detail on her results and by her still limited experience in Masters 1000 events.

Players & fitness

No injury, discomfort, medical treatment, or withdrawal decision has been confirmed before the information cutoff.
Inclusion in the schedule does not guarantee actual presence on court.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.