Prediction Holger Rune – Valentin Vacherot: analysis, odds and forecast

MARCELITOSports predictions

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

DEN

Swiss Indoors Basel

Quarter-finalMen’s singles

Hard

Friday, 30 October 2026 · 14:00

Basel

MONNo.31 ATP

Marcelito prediction

Holger Rune

Match winner

Observed odds1.67

Win probability

52%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

Prediction: Holger Rune · Match winner. Estimated probability: 51.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

See more details

Comparative statistics

RuneVacherot

Win rate (career)62 %61 %
Wins (career)17745
Titles51

Detailed analysis

Rune defeated Quentin Halys 6-4, 6-7(2), 7-6(5) on October 26, then Hubert Hurkacz 3-6, 6-3, 7-6(7) on October 28. Vacherot defeated Mariano Navone 6-3, 7-6(4) on October 26, then Rafael Jódar 7-6(4), 2-6, 7-6(5) on October 29. All four matches are documented as completed, with no retirement or partial score. Rune played two three-set matches; Vacherot played four sets in his last match. These results describe recent form in Basel, without establishing certain superiority in this matchup.Read the full analysis

Recent form

All four matches are documented as completed, with no retirement or partial score. Rune played two three-set matches; Vacherot played four sets in his last match.

These results describe recent form in Basel, without establishing certain superiority in this matchup.

Head-to-head

A previous encounter in Shanghai in 2025 is listed as won by Vacherot. The exact date and score are not documented here. It took place outside the current event and is insufficient to measure current form on indoor hard courts in Basel.

Line-up and availability

Men's singles, quarterfinals of the 2026 Swiss Indoors Basel, ATP 500, on indoor hard courts: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot. Schedule to be confirmed.

Market reading

Prediction: Holger Rune · Match winner. Estimated probability: 51.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form

Holger Rune2 W - 2 L

28 Oct 2026vs Hubert Hurkacz3-6 6-3 7-6(7)W
26 Oct 2026vs Quentin Halys6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(5)W
07 Oct 2026vs Daniel Altmaier6-1 6-7(5) 4-6L
01 Oct 2026vs Kyrian Jacquet3-6 1-6L

Valentin Vacherot3 W - 2 L

29 Oct 2026vs Rafael Jodar7-6(4) 2-6 7-6(5)W
26 Oct 2026vs Mariano Navone6-3 7-6(4)W
22 Oct 2026vs Luca Van Assche6-2 4-6 4-6L
12 Oct 2026vs Tommy Paul4-6 2-6L
10 Oct 2026vs Sebastian Baez6-4 7-6(5)W

Surface & conditions

Swiss Indoors BaselHard

Speed: Medium
Bounce: Medium
Court: Center Court
Forecast: 9 °CSunny spells

ATP ranking

#	Player	Points
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430

See the full ranking

1	Jannik Sinner	10,450
2	Alexander Zverev	9,750
3	Carlos Alcaraz	5,610
4	Ben Shelton	4,680
5	Daniil Medvedev	3,860
6	Flavio Cobolli	3,690
7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	3,515
8	Arthur Fils	3,425
9	Frances Tiafoe	3,380
10	Alex de Minaur	3,280
11	Rafael Jodar	3,234
12	Novak Djokovic	3,090
13	Taylor Fritz	2,995
14	Tommy Paul	2,675
15	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2,600
16	Jakub Mensik	2,495
17	Brandon Nakashima	2,375
18	Learner Tien	2,345
19	Francisco Cerundolo	2,310
20	Alexander Bublik	2,285
21	Jiri Lehecka	2,275
22	Andrey Rublev	2,175
23	Luciano Darderi	2,160
24	Karen Khachanov	2,030
25	Casper Ruud	1,995
26	Lorenzo Musetti	1,920
27	Alexander Blockx	1,790
28	Hubert Hurkacz	1,585
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430
34	Alex Michelsen	1,410
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260
40	Joao Fonseca	1,250
41	Cameron Norrie	1,195
42	Daniel Merida	1,195
43	Mariano Navone	1,164
44	Arthur Gea	1,160
45	Quentin Halys	1,127
46	Luca Van Assche	1,105
47	Jan-Lennard Struff	1,084
48	Matteo Berrettini	1,083
49	Sebastian Baez	1,044
50	Tallon Griekspoor	1,035
51	Thiago Agustin Tirante	1,024
52	Denis Shapovalov	1,015
53	Nuno Borges	1,000
54	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1,000
55	Raphael Collignon	993
56	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	947
57	Jaime Faria	941
58	Miomir Kecmanovic	930
59	Yannick Hanfmann	923
60	Daniel Altmaier	874
61	Arthur Rinderknech	870
62	Ethan Quinn	861
63	Fabian Marozsan	860
64	Vit Kopriva	844
65	Jaume Munar	835
66	Mattia Bellucci	824
67	Martin Landaluce	822
68	James Duckworth	814
69	Roman Safiullin	807
70	Facundo Diaz Acosta	807
71	Tomas Machac	804
72	Titouan Droguet	801
73	Adrian Mannarino	783
74	Pablo Carreno Busta	773
75	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	770
76	Zachary Svajda	759
77	Roman Andres Burruchaga	754
78	Hamad Medjedovic	751
79	Kyrian Jacquet	741
80	Alex Molcan	734
81	Sebastian Korda	730
82	Kamil Majchrzak	725
83	Damir Dzumhur	712
84	Aleksandar Kovacevic	703
85	Rinky Hijikata	689
86	Jacob Fearnley	686
87	Chak Lam Coleman Wong	678
88	Marcos Giron	676
89	Marco Trungelliti	670
90	Terence Atmane	666
91	Lorenzo Sonego	658
92	Bu Yunchaokete	652
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
98	Adam Walton	619
99	Benjamin Bonzi	617
100	Henrique Rocha	596
101	Michael Zheng	594
102	Jesper de Jong	591
103	Corentin Moutet	590
104	Zsombor Piros	590
105	Martin Damm	582
106	Sho Shimabukuro	580
107	Wu Yibing	571
108	Lloyd Harris	571
109	Aleksandr Shevchenko	559
110	Hugo Gaston	548
111	Thiago Seyboth Wild	545
112	Dane Sweeny	538
113	Gustavo Heide	535
114	Jan Choinski	533
115	Nicolas Mejia	519
116	Aleksandar Vukic	507
117	Valentin Royer	506
118	Christopher O'Connell	499
119	Hugo Dellien	498
120	Dalibor Svrcina	494
121	Otto Virtanen	493
122	Sebastian Ofner	491
123	Emilio Nava	484
124	Grigor Dimitrov	472
125	Rei Sakamoto	469
126	Pedro Martinez	462
127	Alexei Popyrin	458
128	Francisco Comesana	455
129	Shintaro Mochizuki	451
130	Alexandre Muller	441
131	Nishesh Basavareddy	432
132	Stefanos Sakellaridis	431
133	Max Alcala Gurri	430
134	Clement Chidekh	428
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404
140	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	403
141	Tristan Schoolkate	403
142	Federico Cina	401
143	Marton Fucsovics	400
144	Darwin Blanch	397
145	Vilius Gaubas	396
146	Ilia Simakin	396
147	Michael Mmoh	386
148	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	385
149	Gabriel Diallo	382
150	Elmer Moller	378

Players & profiles

Age: 23 years
Height: 1,88 m
Weight: 77 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Gentofte, Denmark

No.31 ATP

Age: 27 years
Height: 1,93 m
Weight: 83 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Monaco

Photos : Holger Rune © si.robi CC BY-SA 2.0 · Valentin Vacherot © Skyscraper2010 CC BY-SA 4.0

Career record

	Rune	Vacherot
2026 season · W / L	2 - 2	24 - 18
Wins / Losses	177 - 109	45 - 29
Win rate	62 %	61 %
Titles 2026	0	0
Titles	5	1

Keys to the match

Rune can rely on his extra day of rest, his experience on indoor hard courts, and his ability to win two decisive tie-breaks in Basel; the limitation is the demands of his two three-set victories and his recent return.
Vacherot can extend his momentum after two victories, including the one against Jódar, with 13 aces and eight break points saved on October 29; the opposite limitation is recovery after three sets and 2 h 30, with no guarantee that his serving level will hold up against Rune.

Players & fitness

Rune is returning after an eleven-month absence due to an Achilles tendon injury sustained in Stockholm, information published on September 22, 2026.
The exact physical condition of Rune and Vacherot on the evening of October 29, as well as any current limitation, are not confirmed.
No team lineup is relevant to this singles match.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

DEN

Swiss Indoors Basel

Quarter-finalMen’s singles

Hard

Friday, 30 October 2026 · 14:00

Basel

MONNo.31 ATP

Marcelito prediction

Holger Rune

Match winner

Observed odds1.67

Win probability

52%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

Prediction: Holger Rune · Match winner. Estimated probability: 51.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

See more details

Comparative statistics

RuneVacherot

Win rate (career)62 %61 %
Wins (career)17745
Titles51

Detailed analysis

Recent form

All four matches are documented as completed, with no retirement or partial score. Rune played two three-set matches; Vacherot played four sets in his last match.

These results describe recent form in Basel, without establishing certain superiority in this matchup.

Head-to-head

Line-up and availability

Men's singles, quarterfinals of the 2026 Swiss Indoors Basel, ATP 500, on indoor hard courts: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot. Schedule to be confirmed.

Market reading

Prediction: Holger Rune · Match winner. Estimated probability: 51.9 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form

Holger Rune2 W - 2 L

28 Oct 2026vs Hubert Hurkacz3-6 6-3 7-6(7)W
26 Oct 2026vs Quentin Halys6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(5)W
07 Oct 2026vs Daniel Altmaier6-1 6-7(5) 4-6L
01 Oct 2026vs Kyrian Jacquet3-6 1-6L

Valentin Vacherot3 W - 2 L

29 Oct 2026vs Rafael Jodar7-6(4) 2-6 7-6(5)W
26 Oct 2026vs Mariano Navone6-3 7-6(4)W
22 Oct 2026vs Luca Van Assche6-2 4-6 4-6L
12 Oct 2026vs Tommy Paul4-6 2-6L
10 Oct 2026vs Sebastian Baez6-4 7-6(5)W

Surface & conditions

Swiss Indoors BaselHard

Speed: Medium
Bounce: Medium
Court: Center Court
Forecast: 9 °CSunny spells

ATP ranking

#	Player	Points
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430

See the full ranking

1	Jannik Sinner	10,450
2	Alexander Zverev	9,750
3	Carlos Alcaraz	5,610
4	Ben Shelton	4,680
5	Daniil Medvedev	3,860
6	Flavio Cobolli	3,690
7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	3,515
8	Arthur Fils	3,425
9	Frances Tiafoe	3,380
10	Alex de Minaur	3,280
11	Rafael Jodar	3,234
12	Novak Djokovic	3,090
13	Taylor Fritz	2,995
14	Tommy Paul	2,675
15	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2,600
16	Jakub Mensik	2,495
17	Brandon Nakashima	2,375
18	Learner Tien	2,345
19	Francisco Cerundolo	2,310
20	Alexander Bublik	2,285
21	Jiri Lehecka	2,275
22	Andrey Rublev	2,175
23	Luciano Darderi	2,160
24	Karen Khachanov	2,030
25	Casper Ruud	1,995
26	Lorenzo Musetti	1,920
27	Alexander Blockx	1,790
28	Hubert Hurkacz	1,585
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430
34	Alex Michelsen	1,410
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260
40	Joao Fonseca	1,250
41	Cameron Norrie	1,195
42	Daniel Merida	1,195
43	Mariano Navone	1,164
44	Arthur Gea	1,160
45	Quentin Halys	1,127
46	Luca Van Assche	1,105
47	Jan-Lennard Struff	1,084
48	Matteo Berrettini	1,083
49	Sebastian Baez	1,044
50	Tallon Griekspoor	1,035
51	Thiago Agustin Tirante	1,024
52	Denis Shapovalov	1,015
53	Nuno Borges	1,000
54	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1,000
55	Raphael Collignon	993
56	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	947
57	Jaime Faria	941
58	Miomir Kecmanovic	930
59	Yannick Hanfmann	923
60	Daniel Altmaier	874
61	Arthur Rinderknech	870
62	Ethan Quinn	861
63	Fabian Marozsan	860
64	Vit Kopriva	844
65	Jaume Munar	835
66	Mattia Bellucci	824
67	Martin Landaluce	822
68	James Duckworth	814
69	Roman Safiullin	807
70	Facundo Diaz Acosta	807
71	Tomas Machac	804
72	Titouan Droguet	801
73	Adrian Mannarino	783
74	Pablo Carreno Busta	773
75	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	770
76	Zachary Svajda	759
77	Roman Andres Burruchaga	754
78	Hamad Medjedovic	751
79	Kyrian Jacquet	741
80	Alex Molcan	734
81	Sebastian Korda	730
82	Kamil Majchrzak	725
83	Damir Dzumhur	712
84	Aleksandar Kovacevic	703
85	Rinky Hijikata	689
86	Jacob Fearnley	686
87	Chak Lam Coleman Wong	678
88	Marcos Giron	676
89	Marco Trungelliti	670
90	Terence Atmane	666
91	Lorenzo Sonego	658
92	Bu Yunchaokete	652
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
98	Adam Walton	619
99	Benjamin Bonzi	617
100	Henrique Rocha	596
101	Michael Zheng	594
102	Jesper de Jong	591
103	Corentin Moutet	590
104	Zsombor Piros	590
105	Martin Damm	582
106	Sho Shimabukuro	580
107	Wu Yibing	571
108	Lloyd Harris	571
109	Aleksandr Shevchenko	559
110	Hugo Gaston	548
111	Thiago Seyboth Wild	545
112	Dane Sweeny	538
113	Gustavo Heide	535
114	Jan Choinski	533
115	Nicolas Mejia	519
116	Aleksandar Vukic	507
117	Valentin Royer	506
118	Christopher O'Connell	499
119	Hugo Dellien	498
120	Dalibor Svrcina	494
121	Otto Virtanen	493
122	Sebastian Ofner	491
123	Emilio Nava	484
124	Grigor Dimitrov	472
125	Rei Sakamoto	469
126	Pedro Martinez	462
127	Alexei Popyrin	458
128	Francisco Comesana	455
129	Shintaro Mochizuki	451
130	Alexandre Muller	441
131	Nishesh Basavareddy	432
132	Stefanos Sakellaridis	431
133	Max Alcala Gurri	430
134	Clement Chidekh	428
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404
140	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	403
141	Tristan Schoolkate	403
142	Federico Cina	401
143	Marton Fucsovics	400
144	Darwin Blanch	397
145	Vilius Gaubas	396
146	Ilia Simakin	396
147	Michael Mmoh	386
148	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	385
149	Gabriel Diallo	382
150	Elmer Moller	378

Players & profiles

Age: 23 years
Height: 1,88 m
Weight: 77 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Gentofte, Denmark

No.31 ATP

Age: 27 years
Height: 1,93 m
Weight: 83 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Monaco

Career record

	Rune	Vacherot
2026 season · W / L	2 - 2	24 - 18
Wins / Losses	177 - 109	45 - 29
Win rate	62 %	61 %
Titles 2026	0	0
Titles	5	1

Keys to the match

Rune can rely on his extra day of rest, his experience on indoor hard courts, and his ability to win two decisive tie-breaks in Basel; the limitation is the demands of his two three-set victories and his recent return.
Vacherot can extend his momentum after two victories, including the one against Jódar, with 13 aces and eight break points saved on October 29; the opposite limitation is recovery after three sets and 2 h 30, with no guarantee that his serving level will hold up against Rune.

Players & fitness

Rune is returning after an eleven-month absence due to an Achilles tendon injury sustained in Stockholm, information published on September 22, 2026.
The exact physical condition of Rune and Vacherot on the evening of October 29, as well as any current limitation, are not confirmed.
No team lineup is relevant to this singles match.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.