Prediction Jurij Rodionov – Nikoloz Basilashvili: analysis, odds and forecast

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MARCELITOSports predictions

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

AUTNo.137 ATP

Erste Bank Open

Final

Round 1Men’s singles

Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 18:00

Vienna

GEONo.95 ATP

Marcelito predictionWon

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Match winner

Observed odds1.62

Win probability

57%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match winner. Estimated probability: 56.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

See more details

Comparative statistics

RodionovBasilashvili

World rankingNo.137No.95
Ranking points411631
Win rate (career)44 %46 %
Wins (career)26164
Titles05

Detailed analysis

For the Swiss Indoors Basel, the exact round, draw, surface, and format of this matchup are not confirmed. The Tennis Explorer profile links the players to Vienna, indoors, in the first round, but this does not validate the event announced in Basel. The schedule is therefore to be confirmed.Read the full analysis

Recent form

The schedule is therefore to be confirmed.

Head-to-head

Basilashvili defeated Rodionov in qualifying in Bucharest on March 30, 2026, 4–6, 6–0, 6–3. This matchup provides historical context, but it is not sufficient to predict the upcoming match, particularly because of the change in context and the unconfirmed surface for the requested event.

Line-up and availability

Men’s singles: the announced players are Jurij Rodionov and Nikoloz Basilashvili. No other lineup element applies.

Market reading

Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match winner. Estimated probability: 56.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form

Jurij Rodionov0 W - 1 L

18 Oct 2026vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert7-6(5) 5-7 0-6L

Nikoloz Basilashvili4 W - 1 L

25 Oct 2026vs Daniil Medvedev7-6(6) 1-6 3-6L
24 Oct 2026vs Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-7(5) 6-3W
23 Oct 2026vs Adrian Mannarino6-3 6-1W
21 Oct 2026vs Facundo Diaz Acosta6-2 6-4W
19 Oct 2026vs Marin Cilic6-2 7-5W

Surface & conditions

Erste Bank Open

Court: Centre Court

ATP ranking

#	Player	Points
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
…
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404

See the full ranking

1	Jannik Sinner	10,450
2	Alexander Zverev	9,750
3	Carlos Alcaraz	5,610
4	Ben Shelton	4,680
5	Daniil Medvedev	3,860
6	Flavio Cobolli	3,690
7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	3,515
8	Arthur Fils	3,425
9	Frances Tiafoe	3,380
10	Alex de Minaur	3,280
11	Rafael Jodar	3,234
12	Novak Djokovic	3,090
13	Taylor Fritz	2,995
14	Tommy Paul	2,675
15	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2,600
16	Jakub Mensik	2,495
17	Brandon Nakashima	2,375
18	Learner Tien	2,345
19	Francisco Cerundolo	2,310
20	Alexander Bublik	2,285
21	Jiri Lehecka	2,275
22	Andrey Rublev	2,175
23	Luciano Darderi	2,160
24	Karen Khachanov	2,030
25	Casper Ruud	1,995
26	Lorenzo Musetti	1,920
27	Alexander Blockx	1,790
28	Hubert Hurkacz	1,585
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430
34	Alex Michelsen	1,410
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260
40	Joao Fonseca	1,250
41	Cameron Norrie	1,195
42	Daniel Merida	1,195
43	Mariano Navone	1,164
44	Arthur Gea	1,160
45	Quentin Halys	1,127
46	Luca Van Assche	1,105
47	Jan-Lennard Struff	1,084
48	Matteo Berrettini	1,083
49	Sebastian Baez	1,044
50	Tallon Griekspoor	1,035
51	Thiago Agustin Tirante	1,024
52	Denis Shapovalov	1,015
53	Nuno Borges	1,000
54	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1,000
55	Raphael Collignon	993
56	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	947
57	Jaime Faria	941
58	Miomir Kecmanovic	930
59	Yannick Hanfmann	923
60	Daniel Altmaier	874
61	Arthur Rinderknech	870
62	Ethan Quinn	861
63	Fabian Marozsan	860
64	Vit Kopriva	844
65	Jaume Munar	835
66	Mattia Bellucci	824
67	Martin Landaluce	822
68	James Duckworth	814
69	Roman Safiullin	807
70	Facundo Diaz Acosta	807
71	Tomas Machac	804
72	Titouan Droguet	801
73	Adrian Mannarino	783
74	Pablo Carreno Busta	773
75	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	770
76	Zachary Svajda	759
77	Roman Andres Burruchaga	754
78	Hamad Medjedovic	751
79	Kyrian Jacquet	741
80	Alex Molcan	734
81	Sebastian Korda	730
82	Kamil Majchrzak	725
83	Damir Dzumhur	712
84	Aleksandar Kovacevic	703
85	Rinky Hijikata	689
86	Jacob Fearnley	686
87	Chak Lam Coleman Wong	678
88	Marcos Giron	676
89	Marco Trungelliti	670
90	Terence Atmane	666
91	Lorenzo Sonego	658
92	Bu Yunchaokete	652
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
98	Adam Walton	619
99	Benjamin Bonzi	617
100	Henrique Rocha	596
101	Michael Zheng	594
102	Jesper de Jong	591
103	Corentin Moutet	590
104	Zsombor Piros	590
105	Martin Damm	582
106	Sho Shimabukuro	580
107	Wu Yibing	571
108	Lloyd Harris	571
109	Aleksandr Shevchenko	559
110	Hugo Gaston	548
111	Thiago Seyboth Wild	545
112	Dane Sweeny	538
113	Gustavo Heide	535
114	Jan Choinski	533
115	Nicolas Mejia	519
116	Aleksandar Vukic	507
117	Valentin Royer	506
118	Christopher O'Connell	499
119	Hugo Dellien	498
120	Dalibor Svrcina	494
121	Otto Virtanen	493
122	Sebastian Ofner	491
123	Emilio Nava	484
124	Grigor Dimitrov	472
125	Rei Sakamoto	469
126	Pedro Martinez	462
127	Alexei Popyrin	458
128	Francisco Comesana	455
129	Shintaro Mochizuki	451
130	Alexandre Muller	441
131	Nishesh Basavareddy	432
132	Stefanos Sakellaridis	431
133	Max Alcala Gurri	430
134	Clement Chidekh	428
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404
140	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	403
141	Tristan Schoolkate	403
142	Federico Cina	401
143	Marton Fucsovics	400
144	Darwin Blanch	397
145	Vilius Gaubas	396
146	Ilia Simakin	396
147	Michael Mmoh	386
148	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	385
149	Gabriel Diallo	382
150	Elmer Moller	378

Players & profiles

No.137 ATP

Age: 27 years
Height: 1,91 m
Weight: 83 kg
Plays: Left-handed
Born in: Nuremberg, Germany

No.95 ATP

Age: 34 years
Height: 1,85 m
Weight: 79 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Tbilisi, Georgia

Photos : Jurij Rodionov © si.robi CC BY-SA 2.0

Career record

	Rodionov	Basilashvili
2026 season · W / L	6 - 4	11 - 11
Wins / Losses	26 - 33	164 - 193
Win rate	44 %	46 %
Titles 2026	0	0
Titles	0	5

Keys to the match

Rodionov may look to capitalize on his left-handed profile and relative freshness, with his last documented match dating back to October 18: a loss to Pierre-Hugues Herbert in Lyon, 7–6(5), 5–7, 0–6.
Basilashvili can draw on his victories in Almaty over Marin Čilić, Adrian Mannarino, and Stefanos Tsitsipas, before losing a final to Daniil Medvedev on October 25, but this run also represents a significant workload.
The scenario favorable to Rodionov rests on freshness and left-handed patterns; the scenario favorable to Basilashvili rests on his recent level and his advantage in the Bucharest head-to-head.
Coverage of Rodionov between October 18 and 27 is incomplete, limiting any comparison of form.

Players & fitness

No injury was confirmed by an official source or an identified journalist before October 27, 2026.
No verified figures for serving, returning, cumulative duration, or comparable physical workload were established.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Loading match details…

This content was machine-translated from the French version.

AUTNo.137 ATP

Erste Bank Open

Final

Round 1Men’s singles

Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 18:00

Vienna

GEONo.95 ATP

Marcelito predictionWon

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Match winner

Observed odds1.62

Win probability

57%

Operator odds are not available right now

Prediction summary

Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match winner. Estimated probability: 56.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

See more details

Comparative statistics

RodionovBasilashvili

World rankingNo.137No.95
Ranking points411631
Win rate (career)44 %46 %
Wins (career)26164
Titles05

Detailed analysis

Recent form

The schedule is therefore to be confirmed.

Head-to-head

Line-up and availability

Men’s singles: the announced players are Jurij Rodionov and Nikoloz Basilashvili. No other lineup element applies.

Market reading

Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match winner. Estimated probability: 56.7 %, based on market odds. No stake: this probability does not justify a bet at the available odds.

Recent form

Jurij Rodionov0 W - 1 L

18 Oct 2026vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert7-6(5) 5-7 0-6L

Nikoloz Basilashvili4 W - 1 L

25 Oct 2026vs Daniil Medvedev7-6(6) 1-6 3-6L
24 Oct 2026vs Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-7(5) 6-3W
23 Oct 2026vs Adrian Mannarino6-3 6-1W
21 Oct 2026vs Facundo Diaz Acosta6-2 6-4W
19 Oct 2026vs Marin Cilic6-2 7-5W

Surface & conditions

Erste Bank Open

Court: Centre Court

ATP ranking

#	Player	Points
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
…
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404

See the full ranking

1	Jannik Sinner	10,450
2	Alexander Zverev	9,750
3	Carlos Alcaraz	5,610
4	Ben Shelton	4,680
5	Daniil Medvedev	3,860
6	Flavio Cobolli	3,690
7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	3,515
8	Arthur Fils	3,425
9	Frances Tiafoe	3,380
10	Alex de Minaur	3,280
11	Rafael Jodar	3,234
12	Novak Djokovic	3,090
13	Taylor Fritz	2,995
14	Tommy Paul	2,675
15	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2,600
16	Jakub Mensik	2,495
17	Brandon Nakashima	2,375
18	Learner Tien	2,345
19	Francisco Cerundolo	2,310
20	Alexander Bublik	2,285
21	Jiri Lehecka	2,275
22	Andrey Rublev	2,175
23	Luciano Darderi	2,160
24	Karen Khachanov	2,030
25	Casper Ruud	1,995
26	Lorenzo Musetti	1,920
27	Alexander Blockx	1,790
28	Hubert Hurkacz	1,585
29	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1,565
30	Alejandro Tabilo	1,565
31	Valentin Vacherot	1,480
32	Ignacio Buse	1,445
33	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1,430
34	Alex Michelsen	1,410
35	Arthur Fery	1,406
36	Matteo Arnaldi	1,311
37	Botic Van De Zandschulp	1,295
38	Ugo Humbert	1,270
39	Zizou Bergs	1,260
40	Joao Fonseca	1,250
41	Cameron Norrie	1,195
42	Daniel Merida	1,195
43	Mariano Navone	1,164
44	Arthur Gea	1,160
45	Quentin Halys	1,127
46	Luca Van Assche	1,105
47	Jan-Lennard Struff	1,084
48	Matteo Berrettini	1,083
49	Sebastian Baez	1,044
50	Tallon Griekspoor	1,035
51	Thiago Agustin Tirante	1,024
52	Denis Shapovalov	1,015
53	Nuno Borges	1,000
54	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1,000
55	Raphael Collignon	993
56	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	947
57	Jaime Faria	941
58	Miomir Kecmanovic	930
59	Yannick Hanfmann	923
60	Daniel Altmaier	874
61	Arthur Rinderknech	870
62	Ethan Quinn	861
63	Fabian Marozsan	860
64	Vit Kopriva	844
65	Jaume Munar	835
66	Mattia Bellucci	824
67	Martin Landaluce	822
68	James Duckworth	814
69	Roman Safiullin	807
70	Facundo Diaz Acosta	807
71	Tomas Machac	804
72	Titouan Droguet	801
73	Adrian Mannarino	783
74	Pablo Carreno Busta	773
75	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	770
76	Zachary Svajda	759
77	Roman Andres Burruchaga	754
78	Hamad Medjedovic	751
79	Kyrian Jacquet	741
80	Alex Molcan	734
81	Sebastian Korda	730
82	Kamil Majchrzak	725
83	Damir Dzumhur	712
84	Aleksandar Kovacevic	703
85	Rinky Hijikata	689
86	Jacob Fearnley	686
87	Chak Lam Coleman Wong	678
88	Marcos Giron	676
89	Marco Trungelliti	670
90	Terence Atmane	666
91	Lorenzo Sonego	658
92	Bu Yunchaokete	652
93	Dino Prizmic	638
94	Jenson Brooksby	638
95	Nikoloz Basilashvili	631
96	Marin Cilic	629
97	Toby Samuel	625
98	Adam Walton	619
99	Benjamin Bonzi	617
100	Henrique Rocha	596
101	Michael Zheng	594
102	Jesper de Jong	591
103	Corentin Moutet	590
104	Zsombor Piros	590
105	Martin Damm	582
106	Sho Shimabukuro	580
107	Wu Yibing	571
108	Lloyd Harris	571
109	Aleksandr Shevchenko	559
110	Hugo Gaston	548
111	Thiago Seyboth Wild	545
112	Dane Sweeny	538
113	Gustavo Heide	535
114	Jan Choinski	533
115	Nicolas Mejia	519
116	Aleksandar Vukic	507
117	Valentin Royer	506
118	Christopher O'Connell	499
119	Hugo Dellien	498
120	Dalibor Svrcina	494
121	Otto Virtanen	493
122	Sebastian Ofner	491
123	Emilio Nava	484
124	Grigor Dimitrov	472
125	Rei Sakamoto	469
126	Pedro Martinez	462
127	Alexei Popyrin	458
128	Francisco Comesana	455
129	Shintaro Mochizuki	451
130	Alexandre Muller	441
131	Nishesh Basavareddy	432
132	Stefanos Sakellaridis	431
133	Max Alcala Gurri	430
134	Clement Chidekh	428
135	Borna Gojo	416
136	Laslo Djere	412
137	Jurij Rodionov	411
138	Matej Dodig	410
139	Andrea Pellegrino	404
140	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	403
141	Tristan Schoolkate	403
142	Federico Cina	401
143	Marton Fucsovics	400
144	Darwin Blanch	397
145	Vilius Gaubas	396
146	Ilia Simakin	396
147	Michael Mmoh	386
148	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	385
149	Gabriel Diallo	382
150	Elmer Moller	378

Players & profiles

No.137 ATP

Age: 27 years
Height: 1,91 m
Weight: 83 kg
Plays: Left-handed
Born in: Nuremberg, Germany

No.95 ATP

Age: 34 years
Height: 1,85 m
Weight: 79 kg
Plays: Right-handed
Born in: Tbilisi, Georgia

Career record

	Rodionov	Basilashvili
2026 season · W / L	6 - 4	11 - 11
Wins / Losses	26 - 33	164 - 193
Win rate	44 %	46 %
Titles 2026	0	0
Titles	0	5

Keys to the match

Rodionov may look to capitalize on his left-handed profile and relative freshness, with his last documented match dating back to October 18: a loss to Pierre-Hugues Herbert in Lyon, 7–6(5), 5–7, 0–6.
Basilashvili can draw on his victories in Almaty over Marin Čilić, Adrian Mannarino, and Stefanos Tsitsipas, before losing a final to Daniil Medvedev on October 25, but this run also represents a significant workload.
The scenario favorable to Rodionov rests on freshness and left-handed patterns; the scenario favorable to Basilashvili rests on his recent level and his advantage in the Bucharest head-to-head.
Coverage of Rodionov between October 18 and 27 is incomplete, limiting any comparison of form.

Players & fitness

No injury was confirmed by an official source or an identified journalist before October 27, 2026.
No verified figures for serving, returning, cumulative duration, or comparable physical workload were established.

Alerts & record

Create a selection alert Our predictions are settled publicly — view the record

A probability is never a guarantee of outcome. If you bet, only wager what you can afford to lose.

Analyses are generated by our model and guarantee no outcome. Please gamble responsibly.