Bayer Leverkusen wins
Archived odds 1.66
Archived odds
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BayerLeverkusen
SCFreiburg
Timestamped proof
Bayer Leverkusen wins
Archived odds 1.66
Archived odds
Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 70.8%, according to our model. Odds 1.75. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Read the full analysisSelection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 70.8%, according to our model. Odds 1.75. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Leverkusen won 2-0 against Leipzig on September 20, 2026, after a 2-2 draw at Augsburg on September 12, a 4-0 win against Union Berlin on September 5, and a 2-3 defeat at Elversberg on August 29. Freiburg drew 2-2 at Frankfurt on September 19, after 5-0 wins against Mönchengladbach on September 12, 1-0 at Paderborn on September 5, and 4-1 against Werder Bremen on August 30.
The results from October 11 are not included, as their outcome has not been verified. No comparable indicator for xG, shots, or pressing has been established for both teams over the same period and with the same provider.
On October 26, 2025, in the 2025/26 Bundesliga, Bayer Leverkusen beat Freiburg 2-0 at home. On March 7, 2026, Freiburg and Leverkusen drew 3-3 in Freiburg.
These head-to-head matches show different scenarios and suggest low to moderate prédictive relevance, as the coaches, starting players, and circumstances may have changed.
The match is confirmed in the Bundesliga, matchday 6, on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:30 UTC at the BayArena, with Leverkusen at home. Before the matches on 11 October, Freiburg are 3rd with 10 points, 12 goals scored and 3 conceded in four matches, while Leverkusen are 4th with 10 points, 14 goals scored and 8 conceded in five matches.
Leverkusen scenario: their progress at home, positional attacks and set pieces exploit the difficulties observed by Freiburg during the 2025 2-0. Freiburg scenario: their provisional defensive solidity, quick attacks behind the first line of pressure, crosses and set pieces allow them to turn the balance of power around, as in the 3-3 in March 2026.
The exact implications for the standings at the time of the match remain to be confirmed, particularly after the Freiburg-Schalke match scheduled for 11 October.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +17 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 5 | WDWWD | |
| 2 | 6 | +7 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | DDWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | +10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | WDWWW | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | WWDWL | |
| 5 | 6 | +4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | WLWLW | |
| 6 | 6 | +1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | WLDLW | |
| 7 | 6 | +5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | LWLWL | |
| 8 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | DDWDW | |
| 9 | 6 | -9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | WWWLL | |
| 10 | 6 | +4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | LDLDW | |
| 11 | 6 | -6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | WLDWL | |
| 12 | 6 | -3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | LWLDL | |
| 13 | 6 | -2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | LWLLW | |
| 14 | 6 | -3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | LLDWD | |
| 15 | 6 | -4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | DLWLL | |
| 16 | 6 | -12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | DWLLL | |
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | LLWLL | |
| 18 | 5 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | LLLLL |
CoachCarles Martínez
CoachJ. Schuster
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 89 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
RecordBayer Leverkusen · 1W · 2D · 0L