Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
Pinnacle1.45
Pinnacle1.45
Bet3651.44Archived odds
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FSV Mainz05
BayerLeverkusen
Timestamped proof
Over 2.5 goals
Pinnacle1.45Bet3651.44Archived odds
A balanced matchup from the first third after four matchdays, with a slight market edge for Leverkusen. Mainz can make an impact through home advantage, transitions and set pieces, while Leverkusen have a consistent attack and are coming off a 2–0 win against Leipzig.
Read the full analysisA balanced matchup from the first third after four matchdays, with a slight market edge for Leverkusen. Mainz can make an impact through home advantage, transitions and set pieces, while Leverkusen have a consistent attack and are coming off a 2-0 win against Leipzig.
The decisive limitation remains the absence of lineups, complete information on absentees and homogeneous verifiable attacking statistics.
Mainz come into this with four documented results: 0-0 against Paderborn on 29 August, a 5-0 win at Hamburg on 6 September, a 1-3 defeat against Frankfurt on 12 September and a 4-3 win at Mönchengladbach on 19 September. Leverkusen lost 2-3 at Elversberg on 29 August, then beat Union Berlin 4-0 on 5 September, drew 2-2 at Augsburg on 12 September and beat Leipzig 2-0 on 20 September.
Both teams have two wins, one draw and one defeat; Leverkusen have scored in each of their four listed matches. After four matchdays, they each have 7 points, with Leverkusen 5th (+5) and Mainz 6th (+4).
A three-week international break precedes the match; its individual effects and the returns of international players remain unknown.
The most recent documented encounter ended Mainz-Leverkusen 2-2 on 17 May 2025, in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. The same page also mentions two 3-2 victories for Mainz against Leverkusen, in 2022/23 and then in the previous season.
These precedents have limited prédictive valeur, as the squads, coaches, and contexts have changed.
Mainz can look to turn its home advantage and recent 4-3 victory at Mönchengladbach into a match of duels, transitions, second balls and set pieces, in order to disrupt Leverkusen’s build-up from the back. The opposite scenario favors Leverkusen: control through longer possession, rapid attacks into the spaces behind the full-backs and exploitation of turnovers in central areas.
Mainz’s run of open scorelines suggests recent defensive vulnerability, but does not make it possible to isolate the mechanism. The stakes are a direct clash between teams level on points, with no mathematically established qualification.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +19 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | 7 | +8 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3 | 7 | +7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 7 | +4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | |
| 5 | 7 | +9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 7 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 7 | -3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 7 | +4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 11 | 7 | -10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 12 | 7 | -3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| 13 | 7 | -3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| 15 | 7 | -3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | -3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 7 | -12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
CoachU. Fischer
CoachCarles Martínez
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
RecordFSV Mainz 05 · 0W · 2D · 1L
This fixture is over and appears in the public ledger with its result, even though no bet was recommended here.
