CoachD. Thioune
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WerderBremen
SC Paderborn07
Pronostic Marcelito
Match finished — this forecast has been settled, see the day's review.
Selection: X2 (Double chance). Estimated probability: 73,8%, based on our model. Odds 2.07. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Read the full analysisSelection: X2 (Double chance). Estimated probability: 73,8%, based on our model. Odds 2.07. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Werder are coming off three Bundesliga matches unbeaten according to the Bundesliga, with two wins and a draw, but Dortmund created more chances in the 2-2 draw on 9 October: xG 2,47 to 1,07. The partial archives also mention the 3-2 win against Augsburg on 19 September and the 3-1 win against Leipzig on 5 September, as well as the 1-4 defeat at Freiburg on 30 August and the 0-2 defeat against Dortmund on 16 May.
Paderborn drew 0-0 at Mainz on 29 August, lost 0-1 against Freiburg on 5 September and 0-3 at Dortmund on 12 September, before beating Hoffenheim 3-1 on 20 September. The match against Stuttgart on 10 October was still upcoming as of the reference date.
The complete comparison of the last five matches, exact rest periods and travel is not secure.
The documented recent head-to-heads are Paderborn-Werder 0-1 in the DFB-Pokal on 30 October 2024, Paderborn-Werder 2-2 in the DFB-Pokal on 19 October 2022, Paderborn-Werder 1-5 in the Bundesliga on 13 June 2020 and Werder-Paderborn 0-1 in the Bundesliga on 8 December 2019. Their prédictive valeur is limited because the squads, coaches and competition context have changed; they should not take precedence over 2026/27 form.
The favorable scenario for Werder is based on a compact home block, transitions after winning the ball back and set pieces, mechanisms observed during the match in Dortmund. The opposite scenario is that Paderborn’s pressing or transitions prevent Werder from setting up its block and force its défense to play facing its own goal.
Paderborn showed an ability to respond with its 3-1 win against Hoffenheim, but its stability and precise qualities in pressing, shots, xG or set pieces have not been established. The exact standings and the associated stakes have not been sufficiently verified.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | +12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 4 | DWWDW | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | WWDWL | |
| 5 | 5 | +10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | WLWLW | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | DLDWW | |
| 7 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | DWDWL | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | LWLWD | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | LDLWW | |
| 10 | 5 | -2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | WLDLW | |
| 11 | 5 | -1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 12 | 5 | -10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | WWLLL | |
| 13 | 5 | -2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LDWDL | |
| 14 | 5 | -7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | LDWLD | |
| 15 | 5 | -4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | LWLLD | |
| 16 | 5 | -12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | WLLLD | |
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | LLWLL | |
| 18 | 5 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | LLLLL |
CoachD. Thioune
CoachR. Kettemann
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 88 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
RecordWerder Bremen · 1W · 1D · 1L
