CoachM. Muslić
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FC Schalke04
FSV Mainz05
Pronostic Marcelito
Match finished — this forecast has been settled, see the day's review.
Selection: 1X (Double chance). Estimated probability: 76,1 %, according to our model. Odds 1.67. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Read the full analysisSelection: 1X (Double chance). Estimated probability: 76,1 %, according to our model. Odds 1.67. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
The partial records show Schalke losing 3-0 at Augsburg on 30 August, drawing 0-0 against Bayern on 5 September, winning 3-1 at Union Berlin on 11 September, then drawing 0-0 against Elversberg on 20 September. Mainz drew 0-0 against Paderborn, won 5-0 at Hamburg on 6 September, lost 3-1 against Frankfurt on 12 September, then won 4-3 at Mönchengladbach on 19 September.
These results do not constitute a complete run of the latest matches, and no consistent comparison of chances or xG is available. In the standings observed on 10 October, Mainz were 6th with 8 points from 5 matches and Schalke 12th with 5 points from 4 matches, which limits a direct comparison.
Schalke had returned to the Bundesliga as champions of the 2. Bundesliga in 2025/26.
The page dedicated to the 2018/19 season mentions seven home matches without defeat for Schalke against Mainz, including five wins and two draws, as well as other historical results. This precedent is old: the squads, coaches, and contexts have changed.
No Bundesliga meeting between the two clubs in 2025/26 was established in the sources consulted.
The match is scheduled for matchday 6, on 17 October 2026 at the VELTINS-Arena in Gelsenkirchen, Schalke’s home ground. Schalke scenario: home advantage, intense initial pressure, and rapid transitions could allow them to shut down the penalty area after taking the lead.
Mainz scenario: their 5-0 win at Hamburg and 4-3 win at Mönchengladbach document recent attacking efficiency; the team could exploit the space left by a high defensive line or Schalke press. Mainz travel after hosting Leverkusen on 10 October, while Schalke must travel to Freiburg on 11 October; rotation or a physical impact is possible, but unconfirmed.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | +12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 4 | DWWDW | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | WWDWL | |
| 5 | 5 | +10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | WLWLW | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | DLDWW | |
| 7 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | DWDWL | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | LWLWD | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | LDLWW | |
| 10 | 5 | -2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | WLDLW | |
| 11 | 5 | -1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 12 | 5 | -10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | WWLLL | |
| 13 | 5 | -2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LDWDL | |
| 14 | 5 | -7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | LDWLD | |
| 15 | 5 | -4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | LWLLD | |
| 16 | 5 | -12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | WLLLD | |
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | LLWLL | |
| 18 | 5 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | LLLLL |
CoachM. Muslić
CoachU. Fischer
Bench · Out and doubtful
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 76 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
RecordFC Schalke 04 · 1W · 1D · 1L
