Over 3.5 goals
Archived odds 1.32
Archived odds
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BayernMünchen
RBLeipzig
Timestamped proof
Over 3.5 goals
Archived odds 1.32
Archived odds
Selection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 65,7%, according to our model. Odds 3. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Read the full analysisSelection: Under 3.5 goals (Totals). Estimated probability: 65,7%, according to our model. Odds 3. No bet: this probability is not sufficient to justify a stake at these odds.
Bayern are coming off a 5-1 win against Stuttgart, a 0-0 draw at Schalke, a 2-1 win at Elversberg, a 7-0 win against Union Berlin and a 2-2 draw at Augsburg on October 10. Leipzig are coming off a 3-0 win against Mönchengladbach, a 1-3 defeat at Bremen, a 5-0 win against Hamburg, a 0-2 defeat at Leverkusen and a 6-0 win against Frankfurt on October 10.
Both teams have a week of rest before the match; Bayern return from Augsburg and Leipzig travel after hosting Frankfurt. No homogeneous comparison of xG, shots or pressing has been established.
The 2025/26 season mentions a 6-0 Bayern win against Leipzig, but the exact date is not visible. This previous meeting is only a historical reference point: the squads, coaches and current form may have changed, which greatly limits its prédictive valeur.
No complete official list specific to this match confirms the injured, suspended players, goalkeepers or uncertain starters. The press conferences consulted concerned the matches on October 10 and do not make it possible to confirm an absence or a starting role for October 17.
Bayern can look to pin Leipzig deep and exploit the spaces behind the full-backs or in the half-spaces; their advantage is based on home turf, the standings, and their recent big wins. Conversely, Leipzig can take advantage of quick transitions after regaining possession and the spaces left by Bayern, with a productive attack and a recent 6-0 win against Frankfurt.
This scenario is weakened by their defeats in Bremen and Leverkusen. The stakes are those of a regular-season match between two teams near the top of the table: after five matchdays, Bayern are 2nd with 11 points, Leipzig 5th with 9 points.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | W | D | L | BP | BC | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | +12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 4 | DWWDW | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | WWDWL | |
| 5 | 5 | +10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | WLWLW | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | DLDWW | |
| 7 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | DWDWL | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | LWLWD | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | LDLWW | |
| 10 | 5 | -2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | WLDLW | |
| 11 | 5 | -1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 12 | 5 | -10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | WWLLL | |
| 13 | 5 | -2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LDWDL | |
| 14 | 5 | -7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | LDWLD | |
| 15 | 5 | -4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | LWLLD | |
| 16 | 5 | -12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | WLLLD | |
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | LLWLL | |
| 18 | 5 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | LLLLL |
CoachV. Kompany
CoachM. Demichelis
Bench
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 59 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Rating | G | A | SoT | Shots | Min | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
RecordBayern München · 2W · 0D · 1L